Neither. Because:
a. There is no schedule. It's not an assembly line, logical and predictable. It's 105 testosterone-driven young men being held together by an over-worked, sleep-deprived coaching staff and whatever team chemistry they've developed. It is an equation built on scores of assumptions that is partially erased and re-written every off-season. It's a butterfly flapping its wings over the Andes causing a hurricane 4 months later in the North Atlantic.
b. 2022 was not a fluke. It was a good season. We'll have plenty of those with Josh Heupel as our head coach. We'll have disappointments at times, too. Anything from 8-4 to 12-0 can happen, any season, from here on out. That's just the chaotic nature of college football.*
* And for the trolls and negative Nancies saying "oh, but look at Cignetti at Indiana, he's on a schedule going up and up," I offer you a few exhibits: first, pre-season Illinois. They were supposed to be, in August, what Indiana is now ... and second, 2022 TCU. Remember them? The darlings. Sonny Dykes had them "ahead of schedule and doing miraculous things." Until they went 5-7 the following year. No one talked about them after that.
Next year Cignetti and the Hoosiers could absolutely go 5-7. Or 7-5. And no one will really be surprised. Because that's the chaos of college football.
The rare programs that sustain a very high level of success (like Georgia under Kirby Smart) tend to start with a very stable foundation (like Mark Richt's ten (TEN) 10+ win seasons over the 15 years before Kirby took charge. Or Ohio State's fourteen (FOURTEEN) 10+ win seasons in 18 years under Jim Tressell and Urban Meyer before Ryan Day took charge.
We want to be at that level again. We want to get back there. But that isn't a fast process. And there are bumps and bruises along the way getting there. Especially if a cabal of idiots keeps calling for the coach's head every time we hit those bumps.
Go Vols!