Official Bracketology Thread

#553
#553
Does anyone else know how the first two round locations are decided? Last I saw it appeared Nashville was set to host 7-10 2-15 1-16 8-9 match-ups. With the way we are playing a 2 seed definitely appears attainable but what would need to happen for us to draw the 2 in Nashville?

Having the first two rounds essentially at home would be freaking insane and I will be looking forward to seeing all my Vol bretheren at the Bridgestone if it happens.
 
#554
#554
Smokey'sHandler said:
Does anyone else know how the first two round locations are decided? Last I saw it appeared Nashville was set to host 7-10 2-15 1-16 8-9 match-ups. With the way we are playing a 2 seed definitely appears attainable but what would need to happen for us to draw the 2 in Nashville?

Having the first two rounds essentially at home would be freaking insane and I will be looking forward to seeing all my Vol bretheren at the Bridgestone if it happens.
Click to expand...

IMO, I think they would give the Nashville 2 to them if they 1. only lose one game the rest of the regular season and win a SECT game.... OR 2. lose 2 in regular season and win the SECT. So 2 losses max rest of the way.
 
#555
#555
Smokey'sHandler said:
Does anyone else know how the first two round locations are decided? Last I saw it appeared Nashville was set to host 7-10 2-15 1-16 8-9 match-ups. With the way we are playing a 2 seed definitely appears attainable but what would need to happen for us to draw the 2 in Nashville?

Having the first two rounds essentially at home would be freaking insane and I will be looking forward to seeing all my Vol bretheren at the Bridgestone if it happens.
Click to expand...

From my understanding the locations don’t have predetermined seeding matchups...

The seeds each location get is going to be dictated on who is closest to those locations...

For example, let’s say right now your top 8 seeds are:
Villanova
Virginia
Purdue
Xavier
Kansas
Auburn
Duke
Michigan State

They will go down the seed list rewarding them in order with closest geographical location...so Nova would go to Pittsburgh, Xavier to Nashville, Virginia to Charlotte and Purdue to Detroit.

Basically for Tennessee to get a 2 seed the better our seed the better our chances...if someone wants to map out the Top 16 teams and what sites are closest to each that would give a clearer picture but yea, that’s the gist.
 
#556
#556
Tennessee’s chances of earning a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament improves after its win at Kentucky, per ESPN.

1 Villanova 99.9%
2 Virginia 99.3%
3 Purdue 98.6%
15 Tennessee 34.0%
9 Duke 25.6%
10 Kansas 10.4%
8 Auburn 9.8%
Click to expand...

....
 
#558
#558
So was trying to look and figure out what Tennessee would need to get a favorable site...below are Top 16 teams per bracketmatrix and the 3 closest sites to each. Tennessee really needs to get up to a 2 seed or better if they want a favorable site it would appear, too many of the top teams are close to Nashville and Charlotte.

Top 16:
Villanova: Pitt 294, Charlotte 572, Detroit 577
Virginia: Charlotte 270, Pitt 315, Nashville 543
Purdue: Detroit 283, Nashville 355, Pitt 423
Xavier: Detroit 262, Nashville 278, Pitt 286
Auburn: Nashville 303, Charlotte 357, Pitt 798
Kansas: Wichita 162, Dallas 519, Nashville 597
Duke: Charlotte 144, Pitt 479, Nashville 515
Clemson: Charlotte 138,Nashville 358, Pitt 566
Michigan State: Detroit 90, Pitt 349, Nash 542
Texas Tech: Dallas 348,Wichita 510, Nash 967
Cincinnati: Detroit 267, Nash 273, Pitt 289,
Tennessee: Nash 179, Charlotte 232, Pitt 496
UNC :Charlotte 144, Pitt 479, Nashville 515
Arizona: San Diego 410,Dallas 956,Boise 1035
Oklahoma: Wichita 178, Dallas 189, Nash 689
West Virginia: Pitt 110,Charlotte 343,Detroit392
 
#559
#559
bleedingTNorange said:
So was trying to look and figure out what Tennessee would need to get a favorable site...below are Top 16 teams per bracketmatrix and the 3 closest sites to each. Tennessee really needs to get up to a 2 seed or better if they want a favorable site it would appear, too many of the top teams are close to Nashville and Charlotte.

Top 16:
Villanova: Pitt 294, Charlotte 572, Detroit 577
Virginia: Charlotte 270, Pitt 315, Nashville 543
Purdue: Detroit 283, Nashville 355, Pitt 423
Xavier: Detroit 262, Nashville 278, Pitt 286
Auburn: Nashville 303, Charlotte 357, Pitt 798
Kansas: Wichita 162, Dallas 519, Nashville 597
Duke: Charlotte 144, Pitt 479, Nashville 515
Clemson: Charlotte 138,Nashville 358, Pitt 566
Michigan State: Detroit 90, Pitt 349, Nash 542
Texas Tech: Dallas 348,Wichita 510, Nash 967
Cincinnati: Detroit 267, Nash 273, Pitt 289, Wichita
Tennessee: Nash 179, Charlotte 232, Pitt 496 Dallas
Click to expand...

We'd need to be seeded above Clemson and Cincy
 
#562
#562
If selection were today, my current s-curve:

1 - 1)Nova 2)Virginia 3)Purdue 4)Kansas
2 - 8)Duke 7)Auburn 6)Xavier 5)Cincinnati
3 - 9)Tenn 10)TX Tech 11)Clemson 12)WVU
4 - 16)Okla 15)St. Marys 14)UNC 13)Mich St
 
#563
#563
So there's obviously the RPI forecast, but does anyone know of a SOR and KPI forecast?
 
#564
#564
bleedingTNorange said:
There’s a lot of combinations that could work obviously, but I think getting to a 2 seed would almost certainly mean we get Nashville or Charlotte
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golfballs said:
If selection were today, my current s-curve:

1 - 1)Nova 2)Virginia 3)Purdue 4)Kansas
2 - 8)Duke 7)Auburn 6)Xavier 5)Cincinnati
3 - 9)Tenn 10)TX Tech 11)Clemson 12)WVU
4 - 16)Okla 15)St. Marys 14)UNC 13)Mich St
Click to expand...

MSU is overrated IMO. I have them on the 4 line. Which would allow Tennessee to slide into Nashville in this scenario.
 
#565
#565
golfballs said:
MSU is overrated IMO. I have them on the 4 line. Which would allow Tennessee to slide into Nashville in this scenario.
Click to expand...

Cincinnati is closer to Nashville than Pittsburgh, but not by much...purely by miles that scenario would go...

Pittsburgh- Villanova, Tennessee
Nashville- Auburn, Cincinnati
Charlotte- Virginia, Duke
Wichita- Kansas
Dallas-
Detroit- Purdue, Xavier
San Diego-
Boise-

But maybe committee would swap Tennessee and Cincy?
 
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#566
#566
bleedingTNorange said:
Cincinnati is closer to Nashville than Pittsburgh, but not by much...purely by miles that scenario would go...

Pittsburgh- Villanova, Pitt
Nashville- Auburn, Cincinnati
Charlotte- Virginia, Duke
Wichita- Kansas
Dallas-
Detroit- Purdue, Xavier
San Diego-
Boise-

But maybe committee would swap Tennessee and Cincy?
Click to expand...

Who is at Pittsburgh? Nova and who?

Even if Cincy is closer by a hair to Nashville, the distances would be far more optimized by putting Cincy in Pitt and Tennessee in Nashville than Cincy in Nashville and Tennessee in Pitt, which given the option the committee would almost certainly do
 
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#567
#567
golfballs said:
Who is at Pittsburgh? Nova and who?

Even if Cincy is closer by a hair to Nashville, the distances would be far more optimized by putting Cincy in Pitt and Tennessee in Nashville than Cincy in Nashville and Tennessee in Pitt, which given the option the committee would almost certainly do
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In that scenario...

Pittsburgh- Villanova, Tennessee
Nashville- Auburn, Cincinnati
Charlotte- Virginia, Duke
Wichita- Kansas
Detroit- Purdue, Xavier

But yea I agree...Cincy is about the same distance from both Nashville and Pitt, so I would think they’d put them in Pitt and Tennessee in Nashville
 
#568
#568
golfballs said:
Who is at Pittsburgh? Nova and who?

Even if Cincy is closer by a hair to Nashville, the distances would be far more optimized by putting Cincy in Pitt and Tennessee in Nashville than Cincy in Nashville and Tennessee in Pitt, which given the option the committee would almost certainly do
Click to expand...

In Jerry Palm’s bracket we are a 3 and in Nashville...

1 seeds: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Xavier
2 seeds: Duke, Kansas, Auburn, Clemson
3 seeds: Tennessee, Texas Tech, Michigan St, Cincinnati


Pittsburgh- Villanova, Duke
Detroit- Purdue, Xavier
Nashville- Auburn, Tennessee
Charlotte- Virginia, Clemson
Wichita- Kansas, Michigan State
Dallas- Texas Tech, Cincinnati
 
#569
#569
bleedingTNorange said:
In Jerry Palm’s bracket we are a 3 and in Nashville...

1 seeds: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Xavier
2 seeds: Duke, Kansas, Auburn, Clemson
3 seeds: Tennessee, Texas Tech, Michigan St, Cincinnati


Pittsburgh- Villanova, Duke
Detroit- Purdue, Xavier
Nashville- Auburn, Tennessee
Charlotte- Virginia, Clemson
Wichita- Kansas, Michigan State
Dallas- Texas Tech, Cincinnati
Click to expand...

A little odd that Duke would be higher in the s-curve but go to Pitt instead of Charlotte.
 
#570
#570
golfballs said:
A little odd that Duke would be higher in the s-curve but go to Pitt instead of Charlotte.
Click to expand...

Apologies...that’s not his S-curve, I just listed the seeds...believe he has Clemson ahead of Duke. So basically it would be Duke to Nashville and Tennessee to Pitt but as you mentioned like with Cincy seemingly makes more sense to put Duke in Pitt and Tennessee in Nashville
 
#571
#571
Assuming Nova is the top seed, that would normally mean the last 2 seed would be put in their region - especially considering they're largely in the same geographic area.
 
#573
#573
Tennessee now a 3 seed in Lunardi's bracketology. The top 3-seed, I believe.

Auburn now the bottom 3-seed.

Kentucky still the second 5-seed. They are infallible, I guess.
 
#574
#574
cncchris33 said:
Tennessee now a 3 seed in Lunardi's bracketology. The top 3-seed, I believe.

Auburn now the bottom 3-seed.

Kentucky still the second 5-seed. They are infallible, I guess.
Click to expand...

Because Tennessee is so awesome, you can’t blame a team for losing to them.

Anyway, I’d be pretty happy w this draw and the location. Also Rhode Island is bouyed by their RPI, and is overseeded here. Cincinnati would be a tough matchup I think, but a Grant Williams/Gary Clark battle would be a good one.
 
#575
#575
The only 2/3 seed that I would really like our matchup with is Clemson. Next would be Xavier - who might even be a 1, but I’d like that matchup.
 
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