Official Bracketology Thread

#501
#501
golfballs said:
Well we were bunched up with a lot of teams, so a small change in rating could make for a large wing in position

For example we’re only .01 above Kansas. There could be some games tomorrow that cause it to swing
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Also our opponents looked good today. Vandy, Arkansas, Kentucky all won non-conference games, and SC looked pretty good against TTU. Makes our wins look more impressive.
 
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#502
#502
golfballs said:
Well we were bunched up with a lot of teams, so a small change in rating could make for a large wing in position

For example we’re only .01 above Kansas. There could be some games tomorrow that cause it to swing
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For sure, but when you’re only projected to win by 6 and win by 20 it changes your rating more than the average single game would.
 
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#505
#505
15 in BPI
10 in KenPom
25 in Sagarin (#11 in recent - no weight on preseason)

13 in RPI
12 in KPI
10 in SOR

For an NCAA super-average of 14.2

With a corrected Sagarin, we’d be around 12. Which suggests a ~3 seed
 
#506
#506
Lefteye said:
If this team can put it all together they are scary dangerous in March. Imo

Especially If the guards can be a threat. It would help keep teams from focusing 100 on GW.
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If the guards can be a consistent threat to go along with Grant and Admiral, Vols could make a deep run
 
#507
#507
golfballs said:
We made it up to 6 prior to the elite 8 game in 2014
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That’s insane for two reasons.

For one, in 2014 we had one really good win all year. Virginia, who wasn’t playing well at the time who after losing to us went on a roll. We didn’t beat anyone else with a pulse. And secondly, once again someone is referring to that team as going to the elite 8 which they did not.
 
#508
#508
BigZiti09 said:
That’s insane for two reasons.

For one, in 2014 we had one really good win all year. Virginia, who wasn’t playing well at the time who after losing to us went on a roll. We didn’t beat anyone else with a pulse. And secondly, once again someone is referring to that team as going to the elite 8 which they did not.
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Sorry meant Sweet 16. It’s a ranking of efficiency. Not necessarily wins and losses. Gonzaga has been #1 without beating anyone with a pulse.

We were playing very well then
 
#511
#511
Lefteye said:
If this team can put it all together they are scary dangerous in March. Imo

Especially If the guards can be a threat. It would help keep teams from focusing 100 on GW.
Click to expand...

If we can get some consistent pg play from somebody ( Daniel or Bone), a tourney run is possible. Bone seems disengaged much of the time. I'm sure he is not happy with the way things are working out for him to this point but hopefully he improves from here on out.
 
#512
#512
This is something I had put together and been keeping track of, now with all SEC teams standing the same with number of conference games it gives a pretty good snapshot of where all the teams stand currently...

Name, current record(conference record)...record needed to have RPI inside of 50...record through remaining games to reach that record.

Auburn 19-2(7-1)...20-11...1-9
Kentucky 16-5(5-3)...18-13...2-8
Tennessee 15-5(5-3)...18-12...3-7

Florida 15-6(6-2)...20-11...5-5
Alabama 14-7(5-3)...18-13...-4-6
Arkansas 15-6(4-4)...19-12...4-6
Texas A&M 13-8(2-6)...18-13...5-5

Missouri 12-8(3-5)...19-11...7-3
Georgia 12-8(3-5)...19-11...7-3
South Carolina 12-8(4-4)...18-12...6-4

LSU 12-8(3-5)...21-9...9-1
Ole Miss 11-10(4-4)...19-12...8-2
Mississippi State 15-6(3-5)...22-8...8-2
Vanderbilt 8-13(2-6)...18-13...10-0


It still looks favorable for 7 SEC teams, I’m not sure anyone out of that 3rd grouping will make a run but would seem like South Carolina has the best chance of that group.
 
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#513
#513
Good post Bleeding.

That second group is the most interesting to me. Florida is capable of being a very good team and they have some chances to really shut the door on some of these bubble teams looking for big wins. I thought Alabama was overrated but they keep winning and beating good teams like yesterday. Arkansas and Texas A&M play each other twice down the stretch and those might end up being crucial games. Texas A&M really needs to get back on track down the stretch.

Not sure USCjr has the best chance out of that 3rd group. Gonna be very tough to find that 6th win. I think Missouri has a decent chance to make it. 7 wins seems daunting but they have 6 games against the bottom of the league (Miss. twice, Miss. St., Texas A&M, LSU, Vanderbilt). Best chance for 7 is home against Arkansas otherwise it'll be difficult winning @UK or @Bama. Either way both teams have a razor thin margin for error.
 
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#517
#517
As of 1/28 the Matrix has...

Auburn as the lowest 2.
UT as the lowest 4.
UK as the 2nd and 3rd 5's.
Arkansas, Texas A&M, Alabama, and Missouri all 9-11 seeds.
South Carolina and Georgia in the 'Next Four Out' category.

Matrix as of 1/28/18 4pm.
 
#520
#520
BigZiti09 said:
Starting to feel like aTm and Missouri are on their way out.
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Said the other day, you’ve got 4 SEC locks, and then 6 teams all on one side or the other of the bubble....my guess for SEC teams getting in is:

Auburn, Tennessee, Florida, Kentucky, Arkansas, Alabama, Texas A&M.

Missouri, South Carolina and Georgia all NIT bound.
 
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#521
#521
bleedingTNorange said:
Said the other day, you’ve got 4 SEC locks, and then 6 teams all on one side or the other of the bubble....my guess for SEC teams getting in is:

Auburn, Tennessee, Florida, Kentucky, Arkansas, Alabama, Texas A&M.

Missouri, South Carolina and Georgia all NIT bound.
Click to expand...

Agree with all of it, but A&M. I'm not sure about them
 
#524
#524
bleedingTNorange said:
Said the other day, you’ve got 4 SEC locks, and then 6 teams all on one side or the other of the bubble....my guess for SEC teams getting in is:

Auburn, Tennessee, Florida, Kentucky, Arkansas, Alabama, Texas A&M.

Missouri, South Carolina and Georgia all NIT bound.
Click to expand...

You can't spell Martin without NIT...sorry I had too lol :)
 
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