Official Bracketology Thread

#411
#411
Thunder Good-Oil said:
99.9% is ridiculous. More like 75%. 85-90% if TN sweeps the next 3 at the TBA.
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75%? Seriously? Agree 99.9% is a bit ridiculous, but it’s above 90% easily. 0 bad losses, a 8-2 OOC record with a good SOS, and the Purdue win is better than anything any bubble team would have.
 
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#412
#412
Vols410 said:
75%? Seriously? Agree 99.9% is a bit ridiculous, but it’s above 90% easily. 0 bad losses, a 8-2 OOC record with a good SOS, and the Purdue win is better than anything any bubble team would have.
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It depends on what it means. If the season ended today then 99.9% makes sense. But there are 12 more games left to play and none of them are guaranteed wins.
 
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#415
#415
They guy who came up w BPI's tournament predictor model said that he was able to go back and say with 90% certainty which teams made the NCAA tournament based on a single metric... Strength of Record. And right now Tennessee is 14th in that stat.

Given the games left on our schedule, there's a 99.9% certainly that our SOR will be good enough to historically make the tournament.

I have to think that while it might be 90% accurate, in this case we would fall in that 10%.

Although I do think our odds are north of 90% assuming our team stays healthy, 99.9 is a tad extreme
 
#416
#416
New bracket matrix update, for those who aren’t familiar with this site it’s one of my favorites when it comes to bracketology. They compile brackets from everyone, right now they have 88 brackets listed, these include ESPN/CBS/SI etc. all your commonly known brackets, but also lesser known people as well. It’s interesting because it gives you a very good idea as to the different spectrums teams are viewed, anyhow here it is...

The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2018

3- Auburn
5- Tennessee
5- Florida
6- Kentucky
9- Texas A&M
9- Arkansas
9- Alabama
10- Missouri
11- Georgia
 
#417
#417
I think the BPI takes into account it's "prediction" for the remaining games in the schedule (Tenn is "favored" per BPI in all games except @ UK):

vs. Vandy 88%
@ ISU 57.2%
vs LSU 84.5%
vs. Ole Miss 87.8%
@ UK 47.2%
@ Ala 51.8%
vs. USCjr 87.8%
@ Ga 67.3%
vs Fla 68.8%
@ Ole Miss 67.7%
@ Miss St 66.0%
vs. Ga 86.7%

9-3 in the remaining games is pretty realistic.
 
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#418
#418
bleedingTNorange said:
New bracket matrix update, for those who aren’t familiar with this site it’s one of my favorites when it comes to bracketology. They compile brackets from everyone, right now they have 88 brackets listed, these include ESPN/CBS/SI etc. all your commonly known brackets, but also lesser known people as well. It’s interesting because it gives you a very good idea as to the different spectrums teams are viewed, anyhow here it is...

The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2018

3- Auburn
5- Tennessee
5- Florida
6- Kentucky
9- Texas A&M
9- Arkansas
9- Alabama
10- Missouri
11- Georgia
Click to expand...

Dang Auburn at a 3 is crazy to think about. I think they will fall down to earth throughout the rest of conference play, but they've handled business really well so far.
 
#419
#419
StarRaider said:
I think the BPI takes into account it's "prediction" for the remaining games in the schedule (Tenn is "favored" per BPI in all games except @ UK):

vs. Vandy 88%
@ ISU 57.2%
vs LSU 84.5%
vs. Ole Miss 87.8%
@ UK 47.2%
@ Ala 51.8%
vs. USCjr 87.8%
@ Ga 67.3%
vs Fla 68.8%
@ Ole Miss 67.7%
@ Miss St 66.0%
vs. Ga 86.7%

9-3 in the remaining games is pretty realistic.
Click to expand...

I still say you take 7-5 to finish at 20-10(11-7) or 20-10(10-8) and you run with it...anything better would just be icing on the cake.
 
#424
#424
BigZiti09 said:
We are favored in 11 out of 12 games and you want 7-5?
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In a short-term sense, 7-5 would seem a little disappointing, and definitely not trending up to finish the season, but of those 11 games we are favored in, 6 of them are around the mid-60s percentile or lower. That probably means we will be favored by 3 or 4 points at most, and 5 of those 6 are on the road. So, 7-5 wouldn't surprise me, even if I did have to fight the urge to be disappointed with a 20-win regular season.
 
#425
#425
Hypothetically if we went 10-2 (23-7) what see would we probably be? 2-3?
 
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