Odds after this weekend?

#76
#76
Iu has only played 2 teams with a pulse and barely beat Penn st. Last evening, well coached and balanced against bums is not too impressive. I wasn't comparing us to either, but any 2 loss SEC team should rank higher than a 2 loss from anywhere else and IU should not be #2 just because they are unbeaten against a super weak schedule and play in a weak conference. TN isn't gonna beat many till they correct some glaring issues.
To me, the idea of Indiana being overrated depends on the context. Do I think they are a strong team deserving of a playoff spot? Yes. Do I think they are deserving of a first round bye? Only if they win the B1G CG. Do I think they are currently ranked higher than they should be? Yes but the only team I think should be higher than them is A&M as of this moment.
 
#78
#78
Iu has only played 2 teams with a pulse and barely beat Penn st. Last evening, well coached and balanced against bums is not too impressive. I wasn't comparing us to either, but any 2 loss SEC team should rank higher than a 2 loss from anywhere else and IU should not be #2 just because they are unbeaten against a super weak schedule and play in a weak conference. TN isn't gonna beat many till they correct some glaring issues.
I understand where ya coming from.
 
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#84
#84
What are our odds after this weekend?

#16 Vandy won (needed them to win for us winning to mean anything)
#7 BYU lost
#14 UVA lost
#15 Louisville lost
#20 Iowa lost
#22 Missouri lost
#23 Washington lost

Need Navy or Pitt to beat ND? Need Alabama to beat OU? How high do we rise in the off week?
Not enough to make the playoffs.
Win out and it's still a 9-3 year.
 
#87
#87
What are our odds after this weekend?

#16 Vandy won (needed them to win for us winning to mean anything)
#7 BYU lost
#14 UVA lost
#15 Louisville lost
#20 Iowa lost
#22 Missouri lost
#23 Washington lost

Need Navy or Pitt to beat ND? Need Alabama to beat OU? How high do we rise in the off week?
The results of the last two weekends make the Oklahoma loss hurt even more. We would be guaranteed a playoff spot at two losses now. All we had to do was take care of business and we didn’t.
 
#89
#89
The reality is we aren’t getting in the playoffs with 3 losses. As shocking as it sounds, Vandy will be our only quality win.
 
#90
#90
Our current odds are 3.2% and if we win out and go 9-3 they go to 8%. Just looked them up. Extremely unlikely but not 0%..
Yahoo/BetMGM has them at +50000, which is 0.2%. Add up all the odds and get 1.2 - the house is getting about a 20% cut, so the true odds are more like 0.17%
 
#91
#91
Yahoo/BetMGM has them at +50000, which is 0.2%. Add up all the odds and get 1.2 - the house is getting about a 20% cut, so the true odds are more like 0.17%
I got mine on the google machine. I think it was tied to ESPN/FPI but don’t remember. I have no illusions that we will make the playoffs as I was just curious what the actual percentage was. A lot of people last year thought South Carolina and Alabama should have been in at 9-3 so it wasn’t just totally crazy. Seems virtually impossible based on our lack of quality wins. Saban seems to think that quality losses are important?
 

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