I think we'll lose this game if we fail to score 17 points or more.
Before you laugh, consider that UCLA is 1-3; Florida lost to Ole Miss; and Auburn has a pretty bad offense.
We have not been struggling because other teams are "better" than us. Frankly the teams to which we've lost games aren't world beaters.
NIU has a big time chance to make this a close game. If they get a special teams play, or a big defensive play they're going to be in the game until the end.