berryvol
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Very excited for the season. Don’t think Gonzaga will be the best team in the country. Their record will still be good but I think they take a decent step back this yearThe first KenPom rankings of the year are out and the Vols are projected to win the SEC. Couldn’t be more pumped for October 30. The best time of the year is upon us ladies and gents.
Preseason rankings are always silly but it feels like they’re extra silly for analytical systems. Do they have analytics on freshmen and transfers that they can somehow apply before the season?The first KenPom rankings of the year are out and the Vols are projected to win the SEC. Couldn’t be more pumped for October 30. The best time of the year is upon us ladies and gents.
Yes they do have analytics based on historical production of similar players. It’s clearly prone to variability, but they’re pretty useful in getting a general pecking order when looking across all 358 teams. I’d think as far as preseason rankings go they’re better than the human alternativePreseason rankings are always silly but it feels like they’re extra silly for analytical systems. Do they have analytics on freshmen and transfers that they can somehow apply before the season?
I think it goes further back than that to 2014 when UConn won it. Though 2020 it may have not happened. None of the projected 1 seeds were ranked in the top 8 of Ken Pom preseason projections.Saw a stat on Twitter from one of the basketball media folks I follow that said the last 5 (4 maybe?) national champions have been ranked in the top 5 of the preseason KenPom rankings.
So yeah, I think analytical models like KenPom tend to be more spot on at the higher end. But nothing is perfect.