2/1 td int ratio as a true freshman. Not bad. The team record was not in anyway JG's fault. That is not a qb stat.
26 sacks was partly his fault for not getting rid of the ball. Partly the oline and coaches fault. Once again that is not a passing stat.
So he passed the ball well. The team was bad though. They gave up before he even became the starter. You want to hold team stats against him.
He has already been successful passing the ball in SEC games. That is a fact.
Two players have a chance to start this year at qb. KC and JG.
You know what Guarantano's stats from last year prove? That we are missing an important metric.
Because the stats look ok..... So something must be wrong...ah yeah, football stats are broken, because the poorly reflect personal efficiency....Why?
Because they don't track any metric representing "time" other than games played. It's ridiculous and makes comparitive analysis much more difficult.
I remember as a teenager when i suddenly understood the true importance of "per minute" stats in basketball...the secret to any halfass analysis, and then by studying that understanding exactly how misleading "per game" stats are. Of course "per game" stats are more established as he sexy stats, but anyone with half an analytic brain understands efficiency and rate of production numbers rely on measuring and recording time.
In football it could be minutes, or snaps. Or both. How about possessions? They play 'em, why the hell dont we count 'em???
It pisses me off that they dont keep track of any of this. Any true stab at analyzing performance absolutely must take it into consideration. Factoring in "time" and success/per is at the heart of what profootballfocus does.
Anyway k-town-king. The proof lies there....in taking the total number of opportunities guarantano had offensively compared to the pathetically few times a guarantano led offense found any success whatsoever.
He had many many opportunities and very few successes.
You have in the past compared Guarantano favorably to Tua Taigovailoa.
Tua is an excellent example at the other end of the spectrum. He had very few opportunities, and almost all successes.
By the numbers...as you have pointed out....Tua's performance last year wasnt that much better than Guarantano's
8 games played 49-77 63.6 636yds 11td 2int 175.0 qb rating
9 games played 86-139 61.9 997yds 4td 2int 128.7 qb rating.
What are we missing???? Time...the sheer number of times Guarantano trotted out there, his overwhelming number of opportunities when compared to Tua. As it stands Guarantano #'s WOULD BE GOOD if he had say, half the opportunities that he actually received. As it stands, his true numbers are woefully inadequate when this is taken account.
And Tua's numbers are AMAZING precisely because his lack of opportunities. Its why people are raving about tua, because when he played he look great, played great and made the mkst of nearly every opportunity.
Here we go.,,,(this is what a stud qb looks like)
In 8 games, he ran 36 possessions, played 207 snaps, in this limited time tua led his offense to 1,554 yds 18 tds, 5 FG.
He passed for 636 ran for 133, accounting for 769 of his teams 1554 yards. He did this in 1:36:45 of playing time. Almost 97 minutes. And the national championship game accounts for almost 20% of his playing time!!!
It gets really scary when you consider those 36 possessions include "end of game/half" possesions that were kneeling plays and at least three more were "next to last possessions, ahead big, run 3x and punt"
Really scary cuz that true garbage time accounts for about 45 hollow snaps and 30 min of gametime.
And still....36 possessions 18tds(13 of which were tuas, 11 pass, 2 rush) 5-6 FG....
only 8 of his possessions ended with failure of any kind....5 punts, 2 int, 1 fumble by teammate....the rest were touchdowns(18), field goals(6), or victory formation(4).
How many more possessions/snaps/minutes did guaratano have? See the difference...
And before someone says, "anyone could do that with bama's offense"...
Well, no. Jalen Hurts couldnt. Not quite that good. Thats production and efficiency that we could only pray for.