OPEC+ Agrees To Boost Oil Output When Strait Of Hormuz Reopens
OPEC+ agreed on Sunday to raise its oil output quotas by 206,000 barrels per day for May, a modest rise that will largely exist on paper as its key members are unable to raise production due to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.
The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz — the world’s most important oil route — since the end of February and cut exports from OPEC+ members Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq, the only countries in the group which were able to significantly raise production even before the conflict began.
The OPEC+ quota increase of 206,000 bpd represents less than 2% of the supply disrupted by the Hormuz closure, but it signals readiness to raise output once the waterway reopens, OPEC+ sources have said. Consultancy Energy Aspects called the increase “academic” as long as disruptions in the strait persist.
“In reality it adds very few barrels to the market,” said Jorge Leon, a former OPEC official who now works as head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy. “When the Strait of Hormuz is closed additional barrels from OPEC+ become largely irrelevant.”
Eight members of OPEC+ agreed to the increase in May quotas at a virtual meeting on Sunday, OPEC+ said in a statement.
Besides the disruptions affecting Gulf members, others such as Russia are unable to increase output — in Moscow’s case due to Western sanctions and damage to infrastructure inflicted during the war with Ukraine.
Inside the Gulf, damage to infrastructure from missile and drone attacks has also been severe. Several Gulf officials have said it would take months to resume normal operations and reach production targets even if the war stopped and Hormuz reopened immediately.
The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz since the end of February and cut exports from OPEC+ members Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq.
nypost.com