These contests can be like a mismatch in boxing--the one who has nothing to lose can go all out, fight with abandon, take crazy risks, and because they have nothing to lose, play much more loosely than their higher-seeded opponent who may be more concerned with avoiding a loss.
I'm not saying "Fear the Raiders"... but I will point out that their colors are officially Hunter Green and Vegas Gold. They won't be concerned with making a respectable showing. They'll be gunning for one target, and they'll be willing to roll the dice to reach it.
So, Respect the Raiders.