For those who don't understand the playoffs selection...

#26
#26
VAWL FAN said:
100% agree.Getting to 10-2 will be a challenge but it will do the job if they get there imo.
Click to expand...
shouldn't be much of a real challenge to get to 10-2. UT is favored in all their remaining games and only have to play Kentucky and Florida on the road. the only way we don't make 10-2 is by losing a game we have no business losing.

if you can put up 40 points on Georgia you can beat anyone else on our schedule
 
  • Like
Reactions: VAWL FAN
#27
#27
farmdogvol said:
If SMU, GT, and UVA win out, then SMU beats GT in championship game, UVA and GT will each have 1 loss and SMU will be in as champ. ACC will have 3 teams in, GT will have to beat UGA which isn't likely. ACC could have 3,2 or just 1. Every week is a playoff game for both the SEC and the ACC here on out.
Click to expand...
Yea, and what do you do if Louisville finishes 11-1 with their only loss to 11-1 Virginia…

The ACC is going to sneak a third team just like the Big 10 snuck a fourth team in last year…
 
#29
#29
Are the scenarios we could get left out as a 10-2 team? Sure.

But those scenarios are not super likely and they depend on a lot of other factors (most notably, several other teams winning out).

The worst possible scenario is an undefeated or 1 loss team from the ACC or the Big 12 ranked inside the 10 before their conference championship game, and then losing that game to a 2 or 3 loss team (similar to Clemson/SMU last year). But again, that requires a lot of factors to take place before we get to that point.
 
  • Like
Reactions: volfan102455
#31
#31
I don't know why some think it's crazy that 10-2 gets us in. I think it does as well. Obviously there are moving parts but I think some are mixing their skepticism that we get to 10-2 with it being enough to get in. Those are 2 different topics.
 
#32
#32
this idea that the ACC is only gonna get 1 team in the CFP is the most rediculous thing I've seen.

Not including ND, there's three SOLID ACC teams who are all in good position to be 1 loss teams and GT could beat Georgia and be undefeated.
 
#33
#33
UTFranklinVol said:
shouldn't be much of a real challenge to get to 10-2. UT is favored in all their remaining games and only have to play Kentucky and Florida on the road. the only way we don't make 10-2 is by losing a game we have no business losing.

if you can put up 40 points on Georgia you can beat anyone else on our schedule
Click to expand...
my biggest fear on the remaining schedule is showing up to the swamp unprepared and shooting themselves in the foot with stupid penalties and horrible defense
 
#34
#34
Carp said:
Are the scenarios we could get left out as a 10-2 team? Sure.

But those scenarios are not super likely and they depend on a lot of other factors (most notably, several other teams winning out).

The worst possible scenario is an undefeated or 1 loss team from the ACC or the Big 12 ranked inside the 10 before their conference championship game, and then losing that game to a 2 or 3 loss team (similar to Clemson/SMU last year). But again, that requires a lot of factors to take place before we get to that point.
Click to expand...
If Miami wins out they will most likely be a top 10 team not playing in their conference championship game…they are gonna be in the field of 12 along with the two ACC teams in their championship game..
 
#36
#36
VolsSportsFan said:
I don't know why some think it's crazy that 10-2 gets us in. I think it does as well. Obviously there are moving parts but I think some are mixing their skepticism that we get to 10-2 with it being enough to get in. Those are 2 different topics.
Click to expand...
the winner of the Oklahoma Ole Miss game means a lot. if Ole Miss comes away with the win there is likey to be 4 SEC teams ahead of Tennessee. so the CFP would have to take at least 5 teams for Tennessee to get in.
 
#37
#37
UTFranklinVol said:
the winner of the Oklahoma Ole Miss game means a lot. if Ole Miss comes away with the win there is likey to be 4 SEC teams ahead of Tennessee. so the CFP would have to take at least 5 teams for Tennessee to get in.
Click to expand...
UT then will need Ole Miss to lose to either UF or MSU. Then they would jump them.
 
#38
#38
VOLfrombama said:
my biggest fear on the remaining schedule is showing up to the swamp unprepared and shooting themselves in the foot with stupid penalties and horrible defense
Click to expand...
if Tennessee loses to Florida this year it would be the attrocity of the century. IMO it would be way worse than losing to Arkansas last year. If we have such a mental block that we can't beat a team with a bad losing record who fired their coach at the end of the season when the fan base is deflated and hopeless then Tennessee deserves nothing good to ever happen to them. this is the most beatable Florida team in over 2 decades. hell this team is probably more bearable than the Ron Zook years.

it would be a monumental disaster for UT football to lose that game.

we should be far more concered with both being prepared to destroy Vanderbilt.
 
  • Like
Reactions: VOLfrombama
#39
#39
rocketskates said:
10-2 should get it done, but I'm not sure we win out. The SEC will continue to cannibalize itself throughout the season----Ole Miss/Oklahoma, Vandy/Mizz, etc. Someone is picking up a second loss out of those matchups. If it's Oklahoma or Vandy we could give them their 3rd and effectively eliminate both of them if we handle business.
Click to expand...
In the friendly confines of home, I believe that we will beat both Oklahoma and Vanderbilt. The trip to Florida is my biggest worry, especially if they have someone coaching them that will not make head scratching decisions in the middle of the game and he has the locker room. That also means that we cannot lay an 2024 Arkansas egg against anyone else , like Kentucky,
 
  • Like
Reactions: rocketskates
#41
#41
Sarms58 said:
Yea, too many folks seem blind to the ACC sneaking in a third team…but it’s hard to imagine an 11-1 Miami not being in the field if 12…but an 11-1 GT and an 11-1 Virginia meeting in the ACCCG pretty much guarantees both those teams are in…but I guess a 10-2 Tennessee team gets in over an 11-1 Miami because we would have a wins over 8-4 Oklahoma and 8-4 Vanderbilt…
Click to expand...
Don't underestimate "The U Is Back" bias. Carries a lot of unearned weight come voting time.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Redleg68
#42
#42
Redleg68 said:
In the friendly confines of home, I believe that we will beat both Oklahoma and Vanderbilt. The trip to Florida is my biggest worry, especially if they have someone coaching them that will not make head scratching decisions in the middle of the game and he has the locker room. That also means that we cannot lay an 2024 Arkansas egg against anyone else , like Kentucky,
Click to expand...
Scenario....UF game only really matters if we beat KY & OK. Then its a rest game and on to UF & Vandy. UF is a trap game if we take KY & OK. KY is a trap game cause we follow with a big game at home with OK. Drop either of those 2 and there's no drive to go beat FL.
 
#43
#43
if we're assuming the best possible scenario for Tennessee (winning out and going 10-2) then we also have to assume the best case scenario for all the other possible contenders otherwise it's not a fair analysis.

if you do this, Tennessee is no better than 5th place in the SEC with several schools in the ACC with valid arguments to be chosen.

hell, people keep saying that the Big10 only has 3 possible teams but DO NOT discount that Michigan can run the table and beat Ohio State in Ann Arbor. If you think this is impossible then you don't understand the rivalry especially since losing that game will hav zero impact on OSU making the playoff.
 
#44
#44
10-2 is not automatic - depends on how everything plays out around us with other teams

if our signature wins are oklahoma and vandy, great, but they may be beaten by the time we play them and be ranked lower which doesn't help us
 
#45
#45
Sarms58 said:
If Miami wins out they will most likely be a top 10 team not playing in their conference championship game…they are gonna be in the field of 12 along with the two ACC teams in their championship game..
Click to expand...
That still depends on Louisville and/or Virginia winning out, which again, doesn't seem super likely because neither team is really that great (Virginia's schedule has been straight up garbage before last week).

GT could also trip up in the conference and then lose to UGA in the final week, which would likely push themselves out of the top 12 before the title game and out of the playoffs unless they win the ACC.

So again, a lot of scenarios have to go right to give the ACC 3 teams in the playoffs. A lot has to go right for the Big 12 to put even 2 teams in the playoffs. And Notre Dame also has to win out.

Last year, there were only four P4 teams to make it through the regular season with 1 loss or less (not counting ND), and it seems growingly likely that will be the case again.
 
#46
#46
Carp said:
That still depends on Louisville and/or Virginia winning out, which again, doesn't seem super likely because neither team is really that great (Virginia's schedule has been straight up garbage before last week).

GT could also trip up in the conference and then lose to UGA in the final week, which would likely push themselves out of the top 12 before the title game and out of the playoffs unless they win the ACC.

So again, a lot of scenarios have to go right to give the ACC 3 teams in the playoffs. A lot has to go right for the Big 12 to put even 2 teams in the playoffs. And Notre Dame also has to win out.

Last year, there were only four P4 teams to make it through the regular season with 1 loss or less (not counting ND), and it seems growingly likely that will be the case again.
Click to expand...
You think an 11-1 GT that made the ACCCG gets left out while Tennessee gets in?
 
#47
#47
Carp said:
That still depends on Louisville and/or Virginia winning out, which again, doesn't seem super likely because neither team is really that great (Virginia's schedule has been straight up garbage before last week).
Click to expand...

would you say that the probability of these teams winning out is more or less likely to happen than Tennessee winning out?

Tennessee has a much tougher road.

so if we're going to assume Tennessee can win out should we also not assume then that they could win out with a much easier schedule?
 
#49
#49
Unless we have an Alabama like turnaround in our play, I wouldn't want to be in the playoffs. Alabama has improved every week since losing to FL ST. We did the opposite after GA. And we better figure out how to win on the road. Every time we leave Knoxville, it's like we can't even find our way off the bus.
 
#50
#50
LegionnaireOfTheMiserable said:
Well you can kiss that goodbye with Bama and Georgia having a tiebreaker over us. Bama would have to lose 3 SEC games, and Georgia would have to lose 2. This is disregarding any other teams.
Click to expand...

It will be total losses that come into play - if Bama loses 3 SEC games then they have 4 losses and they are not making the playoffs with 4 losses.

If they were to lose 2 SEC games then they need to play in the championship game and win because they are not making the playoffs with 3 losses.
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.
Advertisement



Back
Top