Snakebrown13
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Ultimate CFB bowl betting guide: How to bet every game
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Northwestern Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteers (-9)
Tampa | Raymond James Stadium
Jan. 1, noon on ESPN2
Fallica: Usually I hate adages like "x plays away from ..." a certain record, but in Tennessee's case it completely rings true. The Vols had CFP teams Alabama and Oklahoma on the ropes and had SEC East winner Florida beaten in Gainesville. The Vols were fourth in ESPN's Game Control metric; they just couldn't finish against the nation's elite. Now the Vols finish with Northwestern, which is 100th nationally in offensive efficiency and 54th in FPI. On paper, everything points to Tennessee. I think the Vols end the season for the second year in a row with a big win over the Big Ten, and win nine games for the first time since 2007.
ATS pick: Tennessee
Score: Tennessee 31, Northwestern 14
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