Velo Vol
Internets Expert
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Watched an interview with a infectious disease doctor. Apparently this can only be spread by direct contact with bodily fluids (saliva, mucas, blood, etc). Quarantine of any known cases should be pretty effective. Even this doctor said in a developed country like the US the chance of a widespread pandemic is almost zero.
A new study in the journal PLoS Currents Outbreaks calculates that there is an 18 percent chance that a case of Ebola will arrive in the United States by the end of this month. The researchers inputed airline travel data and various outbreak scenarios into a computer model to come up with probabilty figures for the arrival of Ebola in 16 different countries. Is it time to panic? Absolutely not. The researchers also report that the likelihood that the disease would spread extensively in developed countries is tiny:
We observe that the expected value of the cluster size in the case of international spread is always rather small (in all countries mean<6; median<4). Large outbreak involving more than 10 individuals although potentially possible can be considered as very rare events (Detailed statistics per country are available upon request). This numerical evidence is good news, as it points out that effective management and isolation of cases is keeping the number of EVD (Ebola) cases to deal with to a very limited number, lowering the risk of losing control of the outbreak.
In other words, the number of people likely to be infected through contact with a person bringing Ebola to our shores maxes out at around 10 individuals.
It's nice to have some sane reporting when it comes to ish like this:
First Ebola Case in U.S. Confirmed. Don't Panic! - Hit & Run : Reason.com
Maxes out at 10 ....
Does their scenario include a hospital turning a symptomatic patient away for about 3 days ?
Doubt it.
Shhhh.
People need something to freak out about . . . and blame on Obama.
Dude Your Hero said a week ago that the possibility of Ebola coming here was remote. Two days later it arrived in Dallas. In addition, travel hasn't been restricted from these countries , it's actually been encouraged
It appears that they are monitoring/tracking 80+ people exposed to ebola by the guy in Dallas:
"In a clarification of earlier reports, Dallas County Health and Human Services spokeswoman Erikka Neroes says the Ebola contact investigation has grown 'to more than 80' people, which includes the 12 to 18 people who 1st came into contact with the infected man, as well as others they in turn had contact with; she was unable to specify how those initial people came in contact with the larger group."
For those who think I'm offering "situations that have not happened yet to springboard a fear campaign", here's a link: Breaking news on Ebola outbreak 2014 - breakingnews.com
Given the transmission vectors and the fact that Ebola isn't an airborne disease, a widespread breakout in the US is highly unlikely.
Again, don't panic.
Dude just showed up in our country. Customs just let him walk in. He vomited in an apartment complex and rode in an ambulance. Did he vomit in the ambulance? Who cleaned that up? Who rode in the ambulance afterward?
Given the transmission vectors and the fact that Ebola isn't an airborne disease, a widespread breakout in the US is highly unlikely.
Again, don't panic.