Do we have a realistic chance to beat Georgia?

Do we have a realistic chance to beat Georgia?


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That defense is pretty stiff though.
Indeed they'll be great on defense every year long as kirbys there.

We put up 17 in a half vs them on the road with a limited qb and playbook. This year we are running alot of new formations and concepts instead of exclusively wide splits that we did in the past. I want to see how we look with a fully functional offense AND homefield.
 
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We definitely have a shot. I would have us as slight underdogs, but barely. If not for some untimely and questionable penalty calls we were in control for a good amount of the game in Athens last year. Some of Kirby's success against us had to do with last second shifts on the DLine and I believe the SEC banned that type of strategy. We also will have the stadium packed and checkered.

My biggest concern is the health of our DLine. Gunner doesn't scare me as a passer, but he does like to run. I think Georgia's best gameplan is to wear down our battered D-Line in the run game and try to force Aguilar into some turnovers. But there is the possibility we gain a quick lead and force Georgia to play more aggressive.
 
We have to get pressure on him. I wish it was a night game. Neyland needs to be rocking and loud as possible.

Fans who can't pay the entrance cost can still make Neyland considerably louder by being outside the stadium with cowbells, Rosco P. Contrane-style loudspeakers, sirens, etc, raising a ruckus on 3rd and long. People who park in that lot across the street from the stadium should have friends Volunteer to stay in the cars and lay down on the horn on every 3rd & long.
 
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It's probably not likely, but we do have a chance. We're still not going to know anything about their team this week as they play Austin Peay. I'm not convinced with Stockton. He's a good runner, but I've yet to be convinced he can beat people as a passer. We'll scheme ways to take away the running game just like Milroe last year. They have a lot of unknowns at the skill positions as well. Frazier, Delp, and Branch are all good players, but none have shown they can be the featured, go to guys quite yet.

Defensively, in theory, they're elite, but again not tested at all. They only managed one pass defended and zero sacks against Marshall. That doesn't mean much given they probably went as vanilla as possible against them, but something to note.
 
Do you think this is the year we beat Georgia? A win sets us up to roll into Tuscaloosa undefeated and controlling our own destiny in the SEC championship race. And obviously this is the only other losing streak Heupel hasn’t ended yet so yea a win would be massive for him the team and us fans . Unfortunately i’m just not that confident we can pull it off with the injuries we are already having on the defense. And Kirby just really gets his team motivated for Tennessee it seems maybe cause he never beat us as a player at georgia i dunno. I think much like 2022 we will have to outscore our opponents but we haven’t scored more than 17 points against Georgia under Heupel. A loss isn’t the end of the world we know from last season that going 10-2 in the SEC will get you in the playoff but man it would be nice to beat those leg humpers and shut there arrogant fans up for a change.
From what i saw in their 1st game, him staring down the his receivers, im gonna say our secondary end up with 2 picks, and Defense comes up with fumble recovery. GA with 3 turnovers, TN for the WIN!!!
 
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Probably the best chance in many years. The roster aligns with inexperience at key positions on UGA's side and this being a home game. I think Tennessee wins in '22 if game was at home.
 
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First and foremost, we'll have to win in the trenches at least roughly half the time. Our big uglies gotta win against their big uglies often enough for our running game to provide a real threat. A fella mentioned early in this thread, we'll need to establish the run to the tune of 4+ yards per carry. Dunno if we quite need that, but the point is solid: we have to show we can make first downs on the ground primarily. Once we do that, Georgia will have to respect the box, and that will free up our receivers enough to balance our offense out.

Our talented young defensive backfield can help nudge us toward a win, a LOT. UGa's QB, Stockton, is still new to the starter role. His eyes are still big. If we can fluster him with incompletions or even interceptions, we'll go a long way toward tipping the balance in our favor. In particular, our lads need to shut down Georgia's talented new receiver, Zachariah Branch. Kid transferred from USCw and did well in his first game wearing bulldog colors. We have the talent to take him out of the equation, if our lads are playing well.

I think our new offensive playbook is going to put Kirby Smart a bit off-balance, but not for long. That man adjusts well. Hopefully Josh continues to introduce new formations and schemes throughout the game. Can't spend it all before halftime.

Biggest worry is our defensive front seven. I mean, none of this is easy, we could be overwhelmed at every spot on the field, but we have a solid chance at holding our own in most spots. Our DLine is a worry. Hopefully they play inspired. We'll need it.

Being at home helps a lot. Especially with flustering their QB and entourage. We'll need all the fan noise we can give.

All in all, I give us a 40% chance of winning. Which is far from a lock, but it's also far from hopeless. We can do this. First, let's play clean and efficient against ETSU. Then let's put a shock-collar on the dawgs.

Go Vols!
 
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Too early to tell imo. Nobody knows who’s good at this point. Plus we’re banged up game one. Now if Tennessee plays smart football, sure theres a chance but I think Georgia has way more talent depth than we do and that will play a big factor. But HEY, anything is possible like Georgia just not playing well.
 
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The big problem hasn't been our receivers getting separation on GA Dbs or our Qb making the throw. It's been both. I think we have the coaches to scheme open receivers, and hopefully the quarterback to get them the ball. Had Imaleaving hit 75% of open td shots we would have won last year. We will win this year.
I think you make a good (and big) point about how UGA plays Tennessee. Kirby lines up to give his outside CBs one job: don’t get beat deep. They play inside leverage and force throws deep along the sideline where the CB is expecting them to come. The alignment guards against quick slants and screens, and there is safety/star help inside. If the wide splits remain, the offensive alignment limits crossing routes. The whole scheme is basically a way of saying “if you can withstand the pass rush and complete a ball accurately enough to beat us deep against a physical corner whose only job is to guard against the pass you’re throwing, then hats off to you.” At the same time, the alignment gives the Tennessee WR and QB a deep route read if it’s a pass play, as Heupel generally coaches his guys to go deep against single coverage. Everything on the defensive side is designed to prevent the quick pass inside, because that is where UGA’s conflict defenders are—the guys who have to play run or pass differently.

Football is always tradeoffs. You don’t “solve” it with scheme. Whatever you cover leaves something else uncovered. UGA has had some success in inviting Tennessee to make reads that attack in a predictable and manageable way—where UGA can rely on 5* CBs and the sidelines to make the throws difficult. The plays are there to be made, but the throws are really tough. Missing inside is an easy pick. Missing outside is out of bounds.

I saw a lot less wide play in Tennessee’s first game. Heupel might be trying something new, and he’s one of the best.
 
I think you make a good (and big) point about how UGA plays Tennessee. Kirby lines up to give his outside CBs one job: don’t get beat deep. They play inside leverage and force throws deep along the sideline where the CB is expecting them to come. The alignment guards against quick slants and screens, and there is safety/star help inside. If the wide splits remain, the offensive alignment limits crossing routes. The whole scheme is basically a way of saying “if you can withstand the pass rush and complete a ball accurately enough to beat us deep against a physical corner whose only job is to guard against the pass you’re throwing, then hats off to you.” At the same time, the alignment gives the Tennessee WR and QB a deep route read if it’s a pass play, as Heupel generally coaches his guys to go deep against single coverage. Everything on the defensive side is designed to prevent the quick pass inside, because that is where UGA’s conflict defenders are—the guys who have to play run or pass differently.

Football is always tradeoffs. You don’t “solve” it with scheme. Whatever you cover leaves something else uncovered. UGA has had some success in inviting Tennessee to make reads that attack in a predictable and manageable way—where UGA can rely on 5* CBs and the sidelines to make the throws difficult. The plays are there to be made, but the throws are really tough. Missing inside is an easy pick. Missing outside is out of bounds.

I saw a lot less wide play in Tennessee’s first game. Heupel might be trying something new, and he’s one of the best.
Yeah at a certain point you can't scheme over a disadvantage in physicality. The reality is UGA has the talent and depth to say "this is the weakest part of your game so we're going to take everything else away and dare you to beat our stable of NFL talent in the secondary to win." Kirby is famous for his adjustments and I think he might stack the box a little more this year and force the former FCS quarterback to beat them with his arm.
 
Yeah at a certain point you can't scheme over a disadvantage in physicality. The reality is UGA has the talent and depth to say "this is the weakest part of your game so we're going to take everything else away and dare you to beat our stable of NFL talent in the secondary to win." Kirby is famous for his adjustments and I think he might stack the box a little more this year and force the former FCS quarterback to beat them with his arm.
I think he can.
 
I never said Tech didn't have a chance to win. Tech schemed a great game against UGA, limiting the reliable TE outlets that Beck needed to beat us. They forced UGA to either run the ball, or attempt long throws, which Beck was inaccurate on. They did a better job than us at locking down the intermediate throws. It was either boom or bust for UGA, which they ended up busting hard on.
I swear it seems like we haven’t stopped Georgia TEs since that stupid hobnail boot game. Damn you David Greene!
 
I swear it seems like we haven’t stopped Georgia TEs since that stupid hobnail boot game. Damn you David Greene!
This is a symptom of how well Kirby recruits that position. Hell, he had Brock Bowers out there for three years. That guy made Stetson Bennett look like a world beater, when in reality Bowers just outclassed nearly every defender.
 
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I didn't watch their game, but I was surprised to see the amount of rushing attempts he had against Marshall (10). You wouldn't think, playing against an inferior team, that the QB would have to take off as much. I'm assuming not all of them were designed runs. That tells me he isn't feeling super confident in the pocket.
ding ding ding---this is it
 
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