Orange_Vol1321
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I’m also liking US Foods (USFD). A lot of upside there.
I haven't taken a close look, but if they've managed to maintain comparable margins with Sysco and have a similar multiple then there should be some good upside ahead. I think that their mix is heavily institutional while Sysco (Sysco seems like a very well run company, but I've never owned it outside of funds) is more retail grocery (again, I'm assuming this without taking a close look). I would think that USFD has taken a huge hit to their revenue with restaurants, hotels, and educational institutions being shuttered. If USFD has weathered that disruption to their Income Statement (and the P/E multiple is historically in alignment) then they should soar coming out of the 'Rona.
In my opinion, Sysco is the safer of the two companies and probably better run but USFD has more upside in the short to intermediate term. USFD is fairly levered so that explains the lack of a run up yet. Still analyzing USFD since those food distributor stocks havent recovered yet
USFD probably needs to have several contracts with the big restaurant players. I think that the small chains and independents are going to have a hard time staying open once the PPP funding dries up.
Without checking out the debt levels, I think that Sysco has the brighter outlook as a business. But with all of the merger activity and consolidations in that industry, I'd think that there are some scary looking balance sheets for some.