All things STOCKS

#17,354
#17,354
SpaceCoastVol said:
What did she buy that at? If I saw right she bought 50-$150 calls for a Jan of 2026? That's a stupid trade unless you know something. imho.
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while I lost some last time I tried, GOOG has dipped quite a bit and I may buy into this trade again today.

Go aeiou said:
Aren't they abandoning weight loss drugs? What do you think they are good at?
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1740752627298.png

Also, Semaglutide was not included in the FY2025 guidance post Q1 and yet the guidance was raised by 56% to $2.3B-$2.4B v $1.0B estimate.

Check out the growth:
1740752682740.png

CEO says his goal is 10 million subs by 2028.
 
#17,355
#17,355
mrorange211 said:
while I lost some last time I tried, GOOG has dipped quite a bit and I may buy into this trade again today.


View attachment 724813

Also, Semaglutide was not included in the FY2025 guidance post Q1 and yet the guidance was raised by 56% to $2.3B-$2.4B v $1.0B estimate.

Check out the growth:
View attachment 724814

CEO says his goal is 10 million subs by 2028.
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I don’t know about a short term trade, but I’m feeling better about holding GOOGL for the long term. YouTubeTV is taking a lot of subs away from cable TV. They’re into robotics and FitBit can be big in healthcare. The mapping/Waze segment(s) complement targeted advertising which alone is extremely valuable. The downside is that they’re huge and have made hundreds or thousands of acquisitions. But at least they aren’t hesitant to bail out on mistakes. Such as when they owned Scott Studios radio automation but sold it to WideOrbit.

Their suite of business systems was getting a solid base of small/medium sized companies and was becoming competitive with MicroSoft Office. I haven’t kept up with how that has been doing.

They’ve built a lot of subscription based and ad supported revenue streams and have the ability with AI to manage them efficiently.

I think everybody needs to hold AMZN, GOOGL, AAPL, and maybe MSFT. I’m not as enthusiastic with META but they keep on growing. TSLA and NVDA are more narrowly focused on pieces of the internet/IT universe. TSLA ought to get back to batteries and power systems instead of vehicle manufacturing. They should possibly partner with the Fords, GMs, Toyotas, etc instead of trying to be one of them.
 
#17,359
#17,359
On the daily chart, the S&P technically is in a pretty vulnerable position here. The top of the morning rally tagged the 50 DMA, which has rolled over and is now declining. I wouldn't be surprised to see a test of the 200 DMA soon.
 
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#17,364
#17,364
I shorted SMCI 3/8/25 puts. So I’ll be assigned SMCI shares after the Friday close unless there’s a ferocious rally. Off 13% today and another 2% in after hours, so I’m screwed on that trade. For now. I don’t expect a quick rally since there’s an allegation of cheating on trade regulations. Those things take a while to unwind - even if there’s no wrong doing proven. It was a $55 stock less than a week ago and is $20 less right now.
 
#17,365
#17,365
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I shorted SMCI 3/8/25 puts. So I’ll be assigned SMCI shares after the Friday close unless there’s a ferocious rally. Off 13% today and another 2% in after hours, so I’m screwed on that trade. For now. I don’t expect a quick rally since there’s an allegation of cheating on trade regulations. Those things take a while to unwind - even if there’s no wrong doing proven. It was a $55 stock less than a week ago and is $20 less right now.
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That stock is a crazy ride. I made some and was burned some on it in 2024 a few times.
 
#17,367
#17,367
mrorange211 said:
That stock is a crazy ride. I made some and was burned some on it in 2024 a few times.
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You’d think that down 30% last week would have been plenty, but somebody decided it needed to fall another 15% to start this week. But unless it’s a head fake it’s turning around ATM. Opened off several points but is up almost a percent right now. I don’t expect it to hold and I’ll own assigned shares after Friday’s close. I’m not worried though. Somebody has to put those NVDA chips in racks. Dell can’t do it all themselves. 13x forward earnings with over $2/share earnings published isn’t high risk. Market cap is barely $20 billion. They could always be acquired as well. Management would have to be perpetrating one of Wall Street’s biggest scams ever to take them to zero.
 
#17,368
#17,368
Well didn’t see that coming. BlackRock buying the Panama Canal ports. As hated as BLK is, looks like they’re kicking out the CCP and putting those concerns on the back burner.
 
#17,371
#17,371
mrorange211 said:
looks like semis may have found a near term bottom.
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The mood right now is to punish markets on any negative news. I don’t expect an opposite, equal rebound as better news slowly drops. It should take several months to recover from the rapid pull back. Trump is too disruptive for those that are risk averse. His policies will need to start showing results to bring back investor confidence.

I don’t expect Mexico or Canada to let their pissing matches to drag on. They have too much to lose and don’t have a lot of leverage. Are there any countries that have fair and equivalent tariffs in place? When they’re already taking advantage of the US they don’t have good hands to play. They’re trying to use the liberal media fueling the Never Trumpers to help the lame arguments.
 
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#17,373
#17,373
Thunder Good-Oil said:
They’re accusing US of dumping? Pot - meet kettle. That regime (dictatorship) needs to vanish. Liars. Cheaters. Thieves. Soulless scum.

www.globaltimes.cn

China launches anti-circumvention probe into US fiber optic products - Global Times

www.globaltimes.cn
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Maybe this is really about reworking the trade deal to keep China steel from being rebranded. I dunno. I agree with you about rick aversion with Trump as president. I'm having a hard time keeping my money in the market for longer than a couple of days because I get too nervous.
 
#17,374
#17,374
mrorange211 said:
Maybe this is really about reworking the trade deal to keep China steel from being rebranded. I dunno. I agree with you about rick aversion with Trump as president. I'm having a hard time keeping my money in the market for longer than a couple of days because I get too nervous.
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Trump knows that market performance will need to be doing well when the mid-term elections are ramping up. So he’s not necessarily going to be market friendly for another year. DOGE is supposed to sunset in about 16 months. I think this is the time frame he’s on.

The current policies are necessary to get the country on track from a bottom line perspective. Unfortunately for him and the Rs, it might take more time than they have to get to a good place. Even if the Ds believe in the policies we’re moving toward, their tact will be to drag it out by resisting and blocking and then taking credit after Trump is out and the LT economic benefits materialize.
 
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#17,375
#17,375
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Trump knows that market performance will need to be doing well when the mid-term elections are ramping up. So he’s not necessarily going to be market friendly for another year. DOGE is supposed to sunset in about 16 months. I think this is the time frame he’s on.

The current policies are necessary to get the country on track from a bottom line perspective. Unfortunately for him and the Rs, it might take more time than they have to get to a good place. Even if the Ds believe in the policies we’re moving toward, their tact will be to drag it out by resisting and blocking and then taking credit after Trump is out and the LT economic benefits materialize.
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Joint session address at 9PM. Markets up right now. Lets see what he says.
 
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