All things STOCKS

#15,326
#15,326
Morgan Stanley on AI and healthcare:

Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are already transforming many parts of the economy, and the health care sector is no exception. But while the use of AI/ML is proliferating across the industry, it has yet to reach its full potential as a driver of new business opportunities and efficiencies.

In a recent Morgan Stanley Research survey, 94% of health care companies said they employ AI/ML in some capacity. Meanwhile, the industry's average estimated budget allocation to these technologies is projected to grow from 5.7% in 2022 to 10.5% in 2024.

Specifically, investors should look for AI/ML to create significant opportunities in four areas:

Biopharma
Health care services and technology
Life sciences tools and diagnostics
Medical technology
 
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#15,328
#15,328
BigOrangeMojo said:
Got DG this AM @$129.7
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Retail scares me with the unfettered thievery right now. But it might be a bigger issue for the upscale retailers. Thugs can only carry off a limited amount of laundry detergent, bacon, shaving cream, and tampons.

I do have M on my latest watch list. I might sell some cash reserved puts on M since it doesn’t tie up very much capital at all.

Top of my buy list right now as I wait to see if there are pullbacks or hood entry points, are AXP, SPR, RTX, DIS, CLH, and TRN. I’m most stoked about adding AXP for a LT (forever) hold. TRN for the (hopefully) coming investment in infrastructure. RTX because things aren’t chill in the world (and each missile generates a million or two of revenue plus their unmanned aircraft are better than putting our troops at risk). CLH is an interesting story with good management. DIS might be near its bottom. And SPR as a contrarian trade - fleets are getting old.
 
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#15,329
#15,329
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Retail scares me with the unfettered thievery right now. But it might be a bigger issue for the upscale retailers. Thugs can only carry off a limited amount of laundry detergent, bacon, shaving cream, and tampons.
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Short Term, lot of headwinds. Longer term, just seems like decent entry point...
 
#15,330
#15,330
BigOrangeMojo said:
Short Term, lot of headwinds. Longer term, just seems like decent entry point...
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I do like their business model. Consumer staples serving areas that Walmart doesn’t have as much of a foot print. I bet that they cash in a lot of food stamps and whatever the WIC program uses. That creates a solid foundation.
 
#15,331
#15,331
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Morgan Stanley on AI and healthcare:

Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are already transforming many parts of the economy, and the health care sector is no exception. But while the use of AI/ML is proliferating across the industry, it has yet to reach its full potential as a driver of new business opportunities and efficiencies.

In a recent Morgan Stanley Research survey, 94% of health care companies said they employ AI/ML in some capacity. Meanwhile, the industry's average estimated budget allocation to these technologies is projected to grow from 5.7% in 2022 to 10.5% in 2024.

Specifically, investors should look for AI/ML to create significant opportunities in four areas:

Biopharma
Health care services and technology
Life sciences tools and diagnostics
Medical technology
Click to expand...
Been in MDT and ISRG for a while. Owned Mako before SYK bought them out around 10 years ago. Just figured robotics and AI would drive this segment of healthcare. Clearly, now, AI will drive many more segments of healthcare.
 
#15,332
#15,332
Velo Vol said:
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Thunder Good-Oil said:
Powell said tgat the inflation target will remain at 2% and 3% won’t become the new target. So don’t look for rate cuts.
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We’re going to hit $40T in debt before too long. If the Fed is adamant on 2% inflation, seems like this tightening will have to be ongoing, at least for a while longer, if there’s no will on the part of congress to address one of the biggest drivers of inflation.
 
#15,333
#15,333
Unless it’s a statistical anomaly, apparently if you write puts just a week or two to expiry and At The Money - you’re probably going to be assigned early if there’s a significant down day with the underlying stock.
 
#15,335
#15,335
Wednesday at 2pm.
Then Jerome does some splaining at 2:30.

Do they or don’t they? I’ve not paid much attention other than they’d like to be done hiking before 2024 and maybe one more coming this year.
 
#15,340
#15,340
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Walmart squeezes their suppliers like no other company. They are still making their profit selling Smuckers, Jif, candy bars, bras, diapers, etc.

DG and Target buyers aren’t as ruthless.
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That's pretty much always been the case, but now there is a retail divergence.

Anyway, the seasonality charts say the next 2+ weeks could be negative, and then the market rallies for the rest of the year.
 
#15,341
#15,341
Velo Vol said:
That's pretty much always been the case, but now there is a retail divergence.

Anyway, the seasonality charts say the next 2+ weeks could be negative, and then the market rallies for the rest of the year.
Click to expand...

Walmart is nearly 10x as large as TGT and 20x DG. AMZN is their only true competitor but Amazon overbuilt (or overcommitted to expand) their distribution facilities in the short term. So Walmart has an edge on everybody right now. AMZN dot com might have the better LT business model versus Walmart because they don’t have the same cost structure maintaining inventories. Amazon provides a platform for sellers. Walmart generally owns the inventory.
 
#15,344
#15,344
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Walmart squeezes their suppliers like no other company. They are still making their profit selling Smuckers, Jif, candy bars, bras, diapers, etc.

DG and Target buyers aren’t as ruthless.
Click to expand...
People are also starting to grocery shop there with increasing regularity, which by shear proximity leads to more purchases elsewhere.
 
#15,345
#15,345
Velo Vol said:
How much higher can it go?

View attachment 581002
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One more hike expected in 2023. The question now will become when do rates cuts commence. The weakness in equities suggests that a 2024 rate cut isn’t expected.

It’s almost comical seeing rotating daily drops of around 5% and 10% weekly in individual stocks. This isn’t a very good environment for major negative news to emerge. The names that led the 2023 rally could quickly give back 25%.
 
#15,346
#15,346
CBRL has been decimated. I'd be more interested but their CEO sucks and I don't think she's capable of a turnaround...

Edit - I see they forced old CEO out..
 
#15,349
#15,349
My idea was to start buying some index in the next week or two, in anticipation of a year-end rally.

But if 10-year yields keep rising it may not work that way.
 
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