2026 Official Seed Watch List Thread

#104
#104
Today’s games:
12:00pm: Florida vs. Ole Miss
12:00pm: Creighton vs. St. John’s
12:00pm: Florida State vs. Clemson
1:00pm: Cincinnati vs. Kansas
1:00pm: North Carolina vs. Syracuse
2:00pm: Penn State vs. Nebraska
2:00pm: Miami vs. Virginia
2:15pm: Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
2:30pm: Kansas State vs. Texas Tech
4:00pm: Missouri vs. Arkansas
5:30pm: UCONN vs. Villanova
6:00pm: Alabama vs. LSU
8:30pm: Kentucky vs. Auburn
9:00pm: Pacific vs. Gonzaga
10:30pm: Iowa State vs. BYU
 
  • Like
Reactions: Willy14, Shrimp&Grits&Vols, volz2wallz and 1 other person
#105
#105
bleedingTNorange said:
Today’s games:
12:00pm: Florida vs. Ole Miss
12:00pm: Creighton vs. St. John’s
12:00pm: Florida State vs. Clemson
1:00pm: Cincinnati vs. Kansas
1:00pm: North Carolina vs. Syracuse
2:00pm: Penn State vs. Nebraska
2:00pm: Miami vs. Virginia
2:15pm: Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
2:30pm: Kansas State vs. Texas Tech
4:00pm: Missouri vs. Arkansas
5:30pm: UCONN vs. Villanova
6:00pm: Alabama vs. LSU
8:30pm: Kentucky vs. Auburn
9:00pm: Pacific vs. Gonzaga
10:30pm: Iowa State vs. BYU
Click to expand...

Lots of teams on the road that we need to win. If we get 2-3 of these on the list I’ll consider it a good day (as long as the Vols win).
 
  • Like
Reactions: volz2wallz and walkenvol
#106
#106
bleedingTNorange said:
agree on Michigan, Houston, Arizona & Duke.

In theory these teams could finish…
Illinois 22-9
Iowa State 23-8
UCONN 24-7
Purdue 22-9
Florida 20-11
Kansas 20-11


A Tennessee team that is 24-7 would be ranked above every one of those imo, but to attain a 2 seed would just need to be ahead of 3 of those teams, not all 6.

Also, my post was more pointing out that a 7/8 seed become a very small % of happening, and likely a lesser % chance than climbing to a 2 seed, I didn’t suggest it was likely or even probable.
Click to expand...
Agree on the 7/8 line - we aren’t dropping that far.

Disagree on your other point. Our NET ranking is 19. All of those are top 13 in the NET and three of them beat us - two of them convincingly. All of them have at least two more Q1 wins than we do and 3+ more road/neutral victories. We aren’t passing any of them. Nothing can convince me otherwise.
 
#109
#109
VolCalls said:
Agree on the 7/8 line - we aren’t dropping that far.

Disagree on your other point. Our NET ranking is 19. All of those are top 13 in the NET and three of them beat us - two of them convincingly. All of them have at least two more Q1 wins than we do and 3+ more road/neutral victories. We aren’t passing any of them. Nothing can convince me otherwise.
Click to expand...
My above post lays out how, they lose majority of the games remaining…I didn’t say it was probably, but it’s not a 0% chance either. When you lose games to crappy teams your NET ranking drops, you’re a smart enough poster, you know this.
 
#110
#110
bleedingTNorange said:
My above post lays out how, they lose majority of the games remaining…I didn’t say it was probably, but it’s not a 0% chance either. When you lose games to crappy teams your NET ranking drops, you’re a smart enough poster, you know this.
Click to expand...
Yes, but IMO we have way too much ground to make up in two weeks. If it’s not a 0% chance it’s less than 2%. Only a catastrophic injury to a Braden Smith or Keaton Wagler, coupled with both of those teams losing out and us winning out, would warrant a mention.
 
#111
#111
VolCalls said:
Yes, but IMO we have way too much ground to make up in two weeks. If it’s not a 0% chance it’s less than 2%. Only a catastrophic injury to a Braden Smith or Keaton Wagler, coupled with both of those teams losing out and us winning out, would warrant a mention.
Click to expand...
According to teamrankings it’s 4.2% currently, which is nearly identical chances as an 8 seed is, and that’s as of now. You win at Vandy and that % of a 2 climbs up while that of a 7/8 seed drops significantly, which is all my original point was that you contested.
 
  • Like
Reactions: NighthawkVol
#112
#112
bleedingTNorange said:
Today’s games:
12:00pm: Florida vs. Ole Miss
12:00pm: Creighton vs. St. John’s
12:00pm: Florida State vs. Clemson
1:00pm: Cincinnati vs. Kansas
1:00pm: North Carolina vs. Syracuse
2:00pm: Penn State vs. Nebraska
2:00pm: Miami vs. Virginia
2:15pm: Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
2:30pm: Kansas State vs. Texas Tech
4:00pm: Missouri vs. Arkansas
5:30pm: UCONN vs. Villanova
6:00pm: Alabama vs. LSU
8:30pm: Kentucky vs. Auburn
9:00pm: Pacific vs. Gonzaga
10:30pm: Iowa State vs. BYU
Click to expand...
I will say if you’re wanting to be greedy and are hoping for higher ceiling while potentially lowering the floor you could root instead for…

Villanova over UCONN
BYU over Iowa State
 
#113
#113
Official, as of today:

Midwest: Michigan, Houston, Florida, Virginia
East: Duke, Illinois, Kansas, Vandy
West: Arizona, Purdue, Gonzaga, Mich State
South: Iowa State, UConn, Nebraska, Texas Tech
 
  • Like
Reactions: Willy14
#114
#114
VolCalls said:
Official, as of today:

Midwest: Michigan, Houston, Florida, Virginia
East: Duke, Illinois, Kansas, Vandy
West: Arizona, Purdue, Gonzaga, Mich State
South: Iowa State, UConn, Nebraska, Texas Tech
Click to expand...
Really need Virginia, Mich State, and Texas Tech to start dropping some games
 
#115
#115
Regardless of who wins or not... does committee look at the score margins? If Vandy and TN is on the same SEED line (between 4-5), and the score margin of this game is 3-4 points... does that mean that they would try to put us on the same line if both teams split?
 
#116
#116
Dougie_D said:
Regardless of who wins or not... does committee look at the score margins? If Vandy and TN is on the same SEED line (between 4-5), and the score margin of this game is 3-4 points... does that mean that they would try to put us on the same line if both teams split?
Click to expand...
They don't even look at head to head results based on our seeding history.
 
#117
#117
bleedingTNorange said:
Today’s games:
12:00pm: Florida vs. Ole Miss
12:00pm: Creighton vs. St. John’s
12:00pm: Florida State vs. Clemson
1:00pm: Cincinnati vs. Kansas
1:00pm: North Carolina vs. Syracuse
2:00pm: Penn State vs. Nebraska
2:00pm: Miami vs. Virginia
2:15pm: Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
2:30pm: Kansas State vs. Texas Tech
4:00pm: Missouri vs. Arkansas
5:30pm: UCONN vs. Villanova
6:00pm: Alabama vs. LSU
8:30pm: Kentucky vs. Auburn
9:00pm: Pacific vs. Gonzaga
10:30pm: Iowa State vs. BYU
Click to expand...
BtO -- could you explain more why we would want AU to beat KY? If KY starts losing and keeps dropping wouldn't that hurt us? Same with Arkansas. I always thought that we pull for teams that beat us? Or is it more the opposite in basketball?
 
#119
#119
Big win! Really hoping NC State can knock Virginia off next week paired with St John’s losing to UCONN or Villanova or both. Virginia would then have Duke on the road after NC State.
 
#121
#121
Dougie_D said:
Regardless of who wins or not... does committee look at the score margins? If Vandy and TN is on the same SEED line (between 4-5), and the score margin of this game is 3-4 points... does that mean that they would try to put us on the same line if both teams split?
Click to expand...
Not really, although in the case of tiebreakers, etc. I’m sure the human element comes into play. The biggest gators are who did you play and who did you beat, SOS, strength of league, etc. Take a look at the NCAA NET rankings and you’ll get a sense of how everything stacks up.
 
New Posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

Advertisement



Back
Top