2026 Official Seed Watch List Thread

#327
#327
MoCo_Vol said:
Zags 28-3
Virginia 26-4
Texas Tech 22-8
Bama 22-8

That's the 4 seeds right now...

We can for sure replace with Texas Tech or Bama...especially if they both lose a 9th game

Bama would have the edge in Quad 1 record...but we've split games head to head and they would have 2 Quad 2 losses.
Texas Tech would have just 1 more Quad 1 win, but they've played 11 quad 3/4 teams to our 9 so I think we'd have the edge

Best case for us is beat Vandy and see BYU beat Texas Tech and Auburn upset Bama


A few 3 seeds could also stumble which might slide them back and move up Zags/Virginia and open things up...

Kansas 21-9 with a Q3 game left
Purdue 22-7 with 2 games left both not teams that will help their seeding, but losses could hurt it

UNC beats Duke they can climb from the 6 line for sure...
BYU & Kentucky are both 6 seeds right now that I doubt can do enough to jump higher at this point.


So yeah...5 seed would be my prediction at this point, but a 4 seed does seem possible... just may need other teams to lose games.
Click to expand...
Texas Tech has wins over Duke, Arizona, Iowa State and Houston. I don’t see them falling past the 4-line. Had they not lost inexplicably to TCU last night I’d say they’re a rock solid 3, even without Toppin (whom they beat Iowa State without, and on the road no less).
 
#330
#330
Stoerner Fumbles said:
SEEDFINAL FOURCHAMP GAMENATIONAL CHAMP
1664126
232125
317124
41542
5940
6321
7311
8641
9200
10100
11600
12000
13000
14000
15000
16000
Click to expand...

Highlights why the program has never made a Final Four pretty well...

We've had 5 no. 2 seeds.

2019, 2024, 2025....all 3 under Barnes made a Sweet Sixteen, 2 made the elite eight

2006 & 2008 also 2 seeds both under Pearl. 1 Sweet Sixteen and 1 second round exit after losing to 8 seed Wichita State...after barely beating 15 seed Winthrop. Pearl's elite eight team was a 6 seed
 
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#334
#334
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Then the table above bid wrong.
Click to expand...

It's not wrong...but it's since the field went to 64 in the 1985 tournament, so NC State wouldn't count (there was only 52 teams taken that season)

Also check this out
www.ncaa.com

DI Men's Basketball Championship History | NCAA.com

Here are the programs which have won the NCAA men's basketball championship.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com

They have a link to a YT for every championship game back to 1976 so you can watch them!
 
#335
#335
MoCo_Vol said:
It's not wrong...but it's since the field went to 64 in the 1985 tournament, so NC State wouldn't count (there was only 52 teams taken that season)

Also check this out
www.ncaa.com

DI Men's Basketball Championship History | NCAA.com

Here are the programs which have won the NCAA men's basketball championship.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com

They have a link to a YT for every championship game back to 1976 so you can watch them!
Click to expand...

Okay. In the unlabeled chart above that covers 40 years, only 3x national champions weren’t seeded #1 -#4.
 
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#336
#336
Seed list entering the day:

3 seed
Nebraska
Texas Tech
——————————
4 seed
Gonzaga
Alabama
Virginia
Kansas
——————————
5 seed
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
North Carolina
Tennessee
——————————
6 seed
St. John’s
Wisconsin
Louisville
Kentucky
——————————
7 seed
St. Mary’s
BYU
Miami
Villanova
 
#337
#337
Today’s slate:
12:00pm: Xavier vs. Villanova
12:00pm: Virginia Tech vs. Virginia
12:00pm: Arkansas vs. Missouri
2:00pm: Kansas State vs. Kansas
2:00pm: Louisville vs. Miami
2:00pm: Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee
4:00: Florida vs. Kentucky
4:00pm: Wisconsin vs. Purdue
6:30pm: North Carolina vs. Duke
8:30pm: Auburn vs. Alabama
10:30pm: Texas Tech vs. BYU
 
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#338
#338
bleedingTNorange said:
Seed list entering the day:

3 seed
Nebraska
Texas Tech
——————————
4 seed
Gonzaga
Alabama
Virginia
Kansas
——————————
5 seed
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
North Carolina
Tennessee
——————————
6 seed
St. John’s
Wisconsin
Louisville
Kentucky
——————————
7 seed
St. Mary’s
BYU
Miami
Villanova
Click to expand...
Seems like Ky is seeded high than their resume deserves?
 
#341
#341
walkenvol said:
Seems like Ky is seeded high than their resume deserves?
Click to expand...
They are #27 in the NET and #26 in KenPom. Six Q1 wins, which is more than us, Louisville, and St. John's, for example. The numbers indicate they're in the 6/7 seed range. The problem with them is when they win, they look like they can beat anyone, and when they lose, they look listless. Maybe the most inconsistent team in the country.

I could see them losing in the 1st round and could also see them knocking off someone like UConn in a 2nd round game.
 
#342
#342
bleedingTNorange said:
Absolutely, they could also fall to a 6
Click to expand...
In my opinion they have too much ground to make up to get a #3. With this being the last weekend of the regular season, you are what you are. This is also why I don't think them losing another game or two drops them all the way to a 6.

I think the 1's, 2's, and 3's are locked in among these 12 teams:

Duke
Michigan
Arizona
UConn
Florida
Iowa State
Mich State
Houston
Illinois
Texas Tech
Purdue
Nebraska
 
#343
#343
I’m worried about slipping down to a 6 if we lose to Vandy. It would be just our luck to be matched up with Miami (OH) and get knocked out first round
 
#344
#344
Dougie_D said:
I’m worried about slipping down to a 6 if we lose to Vandy. It would be just our luck to be matched up with Miami (OH) and get knocked out first round
Click to expand...

At this point, I don’t think there is much difference in a 4/5 and 6. You trade harder matchups first weekend, for easier matchups second weekend if you fall to a 6. If we fall to a 6, it just means we avoid the 1-seeds as long as possible and give them more opportunities to lose. There is a crop of teams that is a clear cut above the rest of college basketball this season. If we match up with Duke/Arizona/Michigan in the Sweet 16, we’re toast.
 
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#345
#345
VolCalls said:
In my opinion they have too much ground to make up to get a #3. With this being the last weekend of the regular season, you are what you are. This is also why I don't think them losing another game or two drops them all the way to a 6.

I think the 1's, 2's, and 3's are locked in among these 12 teams:

Duke
Michigan
Arizona
UConn
Florida
Iowa State
Mich State
Houston
Illinois
Texas Tech
Purdue
Nebraska
Click to expand...
Well you also said Ament was playing today too
 
#346
#346
VolCalls said:
In my opinion they have too much ground to make up to get a #3. With this being the last weekend of the regular season, you are what you are. This is also why I don't think them losing another game or two drops them all the way to a 6.

I think the 1's, 2's, and 3's are locked in among these 12 teams:

Duke
Michigan
Arizona
UConn
Florida
Iowa State
Mich State
Houston
Illinois
Texas Tech
Purdue
Nebraska
Click to expand...
I think top 10 are safe, I think TTU & Nebraska could absolutely fall off the 3 line…Texas Tech has been falling, a loss today at BYU and that’s 3 losses in their last 6, without Toppin I think the committee looks at that and has no issues dropping them. Nebraska if they lose today at home to Iowa that would be 6 losses in their last 11, they’ve been dropping and that’s would continue imo. Obviously that’s with them losing and teams behind them winning, but I definitely don’t think those 2 teams are locked in on the 3 seed line or better.
 
#347
#347
Virginia Tech has fought back and tied it up. Need Virginia to go down today. Missouri and Va Tech pulling these out would be real nice
 
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