2019 improvement

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TN_Transplant

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#1
While many won't be satisfied unless we go undefeated, I tend to make more conservative forecasts. So, how do we realistically gauge improvement next season?

2017 was 4-8, 2018 was mild improvement at 5-7. So what is your forecast for next season, 6-6, 7-5, 8-4? I personally believe we need to go 7-5 next season to make the marked improvement that we should. That said, where do we find those wins? Here is the schedule:

Aug. 31: Georgia State
Sept. 7: BYU
Sept. 14: Chattanooga
Sept. 21: at Florida
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
Oct. 5: Georgia
Oct. 12: Mississippi State
Oct. 19: at Alabama
Oct. 26: South Carolina
Nov. 2: UAB
Nov. 9: Kentucky
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
Nov. 23: at Missouri
Nov. 30: Vanderbilt

I see the "should be easy" wins as Georgia State, BYU, Chattanooga, UAB. That gives us 4. Next, the "we are supposed to" as Kentucky and Vanderbilt. That gets us to 6. So where does the other win come? Miss State? USCjr? Missouri?

What say you Volnation? Give us your expected record, and the teams you expect to beat.
 
#2
#2
Aug. 31: Georgia State - W
Sept. 7: BYU - W
Sept. 14: Chattanooga - W
Sept. 21: at Florida - L
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
Oct. 5: Georgia - L
Oct. 12: Mississippi State - L
Oct. 19: at Alabama - L
Oct. 26: South Carolina - W
Nov. 2: UAB -W
Nov. 9: Kentucky - W
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
Nov. 23: at Missouri - L
Nov. 30: Vanderbilt - W

7-5
 
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#3
#3
TN_Transplant said:
While many won't be satisfied unless we go undefeated, I tend to make more conservative forecasts. So, how do we realistically gauge improvement next season?

2017 was 4-8, 2018 was mild improvement at 5-7. So what is your forecast for next season, 6-6, 7-5, 8-4? I personally believe we need to go 7-5 next season to make the marked improvement that we should. That said, where do we find those wins? Here is the schedule:

Aug. 31: Georgia State -W
Sept. 7: BYU -W
Sept. 14: Chattanooga -W
Sept. 21: at Florida -W
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
Oct. 5: Georgia -L
Oct. 12: Mississippi State -L
Oct. 19: at Alabama -L
Oct. 26: South Carolina -W
Nov. 2: UAB -W
Nov. 9: Kentucky -W
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
Nov. 23: at Missouri -W
Nov. 30: Vanderbilt -W

I see the "should be easy" wins as Georgia State, BYU, Chattanooga, UAB. That gives us 4. Next, the "we are supposed to" as Kentucky and Vanderbilt. That gets us to 6. So where does the other win come? Miss State? USCjr? Missouri?

What say you Volnation? Give us your expected record, and the teams you expect to beat.
Click to expand...

9-3 Plus bowl game -W
 
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#5
#5
Aug. 31: Georgia State W
Sept. 7: BYU W
Sept. 14: Chattanooga W
Sept. 21: at Florida L
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
Oct. 5: Georgia L
Oct. 12: Mississippi State L
Oct. 19: at Alabama L
Oct. 26: South Carolina W
Nov. 2: UAB W
Nov. 9: Kentucky L
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
Nov. 23: at Missouri L
Nov. 30: Vanderbilt W

6 - 6
 
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#6
#6
I honestly think it depends on who the OC will be. I know that sounds like "captain obvious" but UT has a chance to hire someone who knows what they're doing, has done it before and can get it done IN THE SEC. I can see a Freeze team going 8-4 or even 9-3. If UT hires an "up and comer", then 6-6 sounds more reasonable.
 
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#8
#8
Are there any poster that will not be happy with anything other than undefeated?
 
#9
#9
We have to go undefeated against our non-conference opponents to win 7 or 8 games which is not asking too much. BYU will present challenges for UT. If we win that game 7-5 or 8-4 is realistic. Lose that game and we probably go 6-6 praying to get a 7th win.
 
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#10
#10
8-4 or 9-3 honestly. Looking at the scholarship breakdowns the SEC will be much weaker next year. Mizzou, Scar, Kentucky, Miss St and Vandy all lose massive amounts of production, UF stays flat, Bama and uga get better. Looking at these historically weaker teams it's no wonder Mizzou with 23 seniors in the 2-Deep beat our freshmen/sop squad learning a new scheme.
 
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#12
#12
I know I'm not, but in reality, a winning record and a bowl birth would be seen as improvement. I don't see an easy fix for our OL problems, and I also expect a step back on the DL. So that doesn't fare well for a winning record.
 
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#13
#13
South Carolina is average at best and I think uk, mizzou, and miss state will all take a step back next year due to losing key contributors. I'm not expecting to beat all of em but it's definitely possible. The only games I see that are a stretch are uga,bama,and fl
 
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#15
#15
I can see it from a few different ways. Anything less than 6 wins is an abject failure. No excuses.


6-7 Wins:
Better than last year.
Technically Improved.
Not impressive at all.

8-9 Wins:
Played up to a weak schedule.
Pretty big jump.
Impressive considering the last two seasons.

10-11 Wins:
Wow... no seriously wow!
Most impressive, but you are not a Jedi yet.

12 Wins:
I wake up or Pruitt is THE man.
O_O
 
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#17
#17
Both BYU and UAB are good teams, they'll give us tough games based on our roster, etc... my guess is 6-6 at the best...
 
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#18
#18
VOLfrombama said:
I know I'm not, but in reality, a winning record and a bowl birth would be seen as improvement. I don't see an easy fix for our OL problems, and I also expect a step back on the DL. So that doesn't fare well for a winning record.
Click to expand...
How long is labor for a bowl birth? Sorry, couldn't resist. :D
 
#19
#19
qualification: with a Freeze hire...
W Aug. 31: Georgia State
W Sept. 7: BYU
W Sept. 14: Chattanooga
W Sept. 21: at Florida
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
L Oct. 5: Georgia
L Oct. 12: Mississippi State
L Oct. 19: at Alabama
W Oct. 26: South Carolina
W Nov. 2: UAB
W Nov. 9: Kentucky
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
L Nov. 23: at Missouri
W Nov. 30: Vanderbilt

so i say 8-4 plus a bowl. reasonings... first 3 should be a given. FL will be the surprise win most people (non vol fans) wont be expecting. Ga and Bama are givens at this point in our program, M state will be the surprise loss Vol fans will expect to win. Mizzou will be a close one, but they will out fight us.
 
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#20
#20
Pruitt needs to make a bowl next year at the very least. A bowl was possible this year, and if he didn't make one within his first 2 years that'd be a little disconcerting.

If you look at the schedule, there are honestly only 2-3 games that I'd call sure losses (at Florida, Georgia, at Alabama). Everything else is either winnable or a "should win." 7-5 seems a reasonable expectation to me.
 
#21
#21
Had us at 5-7 this year. But the 5th win was against Vandy instead of AU. It's extremely early, but I could see 8-4 as a strong possibility.
 
#23
#23
Aug. 31: Georgia State win
Sept. 7: BYU win
Sept. 14: Chattanooga win
Sept. 21: at Florida probable loss
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
Oct. 5: Georgia loss
Oct. 12: Mississippi State win. They lose a lot
Oct. 19: at Alabama Loss
Oct. 26: South Carolina Win. It's just time
Nov. 2: UAB Tough win
Nov. 9: AT KENTUCKY Win. They lose a lot from a team that was not that good to start with
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
Nov. 23: at Missouri Win. They have beat Tenn with the possible #1 pick at QB. They drop.
Nov. 30: Vanderbilt win. They lose the QB.
 
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#24
#24
8-4. Anything short of 7 wins starts to put Pruitt on "questionable hire" status...but think we'll be much better in 19, along w/ easier schedule.
Aug. 31: Georgia State -w
Sept. 7: BYU - w
Sept. 14: Chattanooga - w
Sept. 21: at Florida - L
Sept. 28: OPEN DATE
Oct. 5: Georgia - L
Oct. 12: Mississippi State - W (new QB)
Oct. 19: at Alabama - L
Oct. 26: South Carolina - L (close)
Nov. 2: UAB - W
Nov. 9: Kentucky - W (senior heavy team with many personnel losses)
Nov. 16: OPEN DATE
Nov. 23: at Missouri - W (new QB)
Nov. 30: Vanderbilt - W (new QB)
 
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