2018 Midterm Election Thread

#2,452
#2,452
Franklin Pierce said:
Judge blocks Georgia election officials from tossing out absentee ballots

A federal district court judge issued an order Wednesday to temporarily block election officials in Georgia from tossing out absentee ballots or applications when a voter’s signature does not match the signature on their voter registration card.

Judge Leigh Martin May, on the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Georgia, said election officials have to notify voters first before they can reject absentee ballots with mismatched signatures.

The order is an early win for the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) after the group filed a lawsuit on behalf of the Georgia MUSLIM Voter Project against Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp and county registrars.


Judge blocks Georgia election officials from tossing out absentee ballots
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these purges should be done right after the election, not right before.
 
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#2,453
#2,453
Fake Polls. Bill Still calls for Republicans to hold the House 227 to 208 margin in addition to the Senate 55 to 45. He got it right in 2016.
Synopsis:
Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on fake polls.
We first called both the Senate and House races for the Republicans in SR 2408 published 11 days ago. Our prediction was a 54-46 split in the incoming Senate and the narrowest of margins in the House.
Now everyone else is starting to see the light. The real red tide is getting harder and harder to hide.
Look at this shocking analysis by RealClearPolitics. RCP is still calling for a +5 mob victory in the House, but this is to be expected. They will hold out hopes for a mob victory until the red tide is just impossible to ignore.
And it’s getting pretty hard to hide when you analyze this graphic which represents changes in the various races. Notice that on the entire red side (the right side) there are only 3 districts in blue and one still in toss-up territory.
But look at the left side of the graphic. There are 14 changes towards the red side. So let’s do the simple addition here. If things stay as they are, Republican candidates will win 29 of the 30 toss-ups – that would give them 228 – and remember, to have a majority in the House, it only takes 218. So, this alone would give the GOP a +10 in the House.
 
#2,455
#2,455
luthervol said:
Of course there is no defense. The whole republican playbook is to create fear of minorities, immigrants, and a radicalized mob mentality left. It's incredibly sad, but the fact that it evidently works is even sadder.
Fear of anything different seems to be the bedrock of modern day republicanism.
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You mean different like far left socialism? Bernie Sanders, Ocasio-Cortez, Shumer and the like? These people hate what America was founded on and so you do.🖕🏼
 
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#2,458
#2,458
Democrats
Fear Trump has Killed Off their Hopes of a blue wave as they say chance of flipping the Senate is all but Gone and House majority is in the balance

  • Democrats had hoped for a blue wave to sweep away the Republicans in the House and even flip the Senate
  • Now operatives in both parties say the chance to get the upper house is essentially gone after a surge in Trump's personal popularity
In the closing stretch of the 2018 campaign, the question is no longer the size of the Democratic wave. It's whether there will be a wave at all.

Top operatives in both political parties concede that Democrats' narrow path to the Senate majority has essentially disappeared, a casualty of surging Republican enthusiasm across GOP strongholds. At the same time, leading Democrats now fear the battle for the House majority will be decided by just a handful of seats.

'It's always been an inside straight, and it still is,' Democratic pollster Paul Maslin said of Democrats' outlook in the Senate, where they need to pick up two seats while holding on to several others in Republican-leaning states to seize the majority. 'If it had been a different year, with a different map, we might have had a terrific sweep. That would be a long shot.'

Senate slipping away as Dems fight to preserve blue wave | Daily Mail Online
 
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#2,460
#2,460
I could be wrong, but I'd almost bet Michigan is in play for John James. Especially with the gap closing.

Free Press poll: Schuette and GOP gaining ground on Whitmer, Dems

Even in the U.S. Senate race, where the Democratic incumbent, U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, has been widely expected to enjoy a double-digit victory over Republican challenger John James, her lead is down to 7 points, the poll found. Stabenow led James by 23 points in a September poll by the same firm, EPIC-MRA of Lansing.
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#2,462
#2,462
Latinos & Blacks – the New Monster Vote

Synopsis:
Good evening, I’m still reporting on the election.
Oddly, the Desperate Dems seem to be ignoring Latinos this election – just as they did in the 2016 election – because they are taking their vote for granted – just as they have the black vote for decades.
However, new studies are increasingly showing that both blacks and Latinos are migrating towards the patriarchal figure of President Trump.
In 2016, I remember writing stories that if Trump were able to crack the 5% threshold of the black vote, that would be a win. Well, he actually scored 8%.
Unfortunately, I, like most people didn’t even look at the Latino vote – except in Florida – because I figured it would vote overwhelmingly Democrat.
However, now the trends are clear, Republicans under President Trump may just score like never before with both groups in 12 days.
In 2012, Mitt Romney got just 6% of the black vote, and 27% of the Latino vote. In 2016, candidate Trump captured 8% of the black vote and 29% of the Latino vote.
In one study, done in highly Latino populations in Texas, in 2016, Hillary Clinton scored on average 6.4% fewer Latino votes than Obama did in 2012. Generally, those votes went for Trump.
But since his election, President Trump has reached out to both groups, and it’s working.

 
#2,465
#2,465
Grand Vol said:
I could be wrong, but I'd almost bet Michigan is in play for John James. Especially with the gap closing.

Free Press poll: Schuette and GOP gaining ground on Whitmer, Dems
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Another poll, from Mitchell Research, that was just released has him down only six. Last Mitchell Research poll from September had him down 13. I don’t know if he has the time to make up the 6-7 points, but he’s certainly established himself as a rising star in the Republican Party.
 
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