If you had asked me six months ago who I thought would win control of the House of Representatives in 2018, I wouldnt have hesitated before answering, Its early, but Democrats are heavily favored, although conventional wisdom has been very slow to catch up. With a raft of GOP retirements in highly vulnerable open seats, a president with job approval ratings in the 30s, and a generic ballot lead for Democrats in the double digits, it was increasingly difficult to spell out a path to victory for Republicans. In fact, things were bad enough that it appeared their losses could grow into the 40 or even 50 seat range.
Things have changed. If the election were held today, its not clear who would hold the chamber. I might put a thumb on the scale for Republicans, but right now and it is still early the House is likely to be close.