My point wasn't necessarily that they can't afford it. It just seems like a massive amount of money to go with a coach who hasn't won his conference or reached the conference title game? I thought they basically fired Franklin for not winning the conference or their big games. Heupel is a great coach but unless I'm missing something they would have to pay him close to top 5 money.
I think there is massive confusion. I am very upset with Heupel's performance this year. With that said, this current coaching arms race with the open jobs available are going to make someone like him a hot commodity.
Penn State
Florida
Auburn
LSU
Those 4 programs probably have the same coach or two in their top 5 list. Obviously 4 programs won't be able to land 2 coaches. So what happens if they don't get their top guys, but they just fired a coach to tune of millions.
Specifically Penn State and LSU aren't going to fire Franklin and Kelly just to go out and bet on the likes of Sumrall, Stein, or Golesh types. They are looking for someone to get the program to the next step. Heupel has shown he can do that to a smaller degree from what he walked into to where it is now.
There will be one of those schools that will panic and miss out on the Kiffin or Drinkwitz type of coaches and are just going to make some splash hire that no one saw coming or atleast make some big overboard offer to a coach that would be considered entrenched in their current job.
We have seen this 3 times in the last 15 years:
Bret Bielema to Arkansas (40-13 record / Rose Bowls 4 years prior to taking Arkansas job)
Lincoln Riley to USC (55-10 record / multiple playoffs 5 years prior to taking USC job)
Brian Kelly to LSU (54-9 record 5 years prior to taking LSU job)
All 3 of those hires were out of leftfield and money was big part of it.
What happens when Kiffin decides to stay at Ole Miss and Drink leaves for another school or stays in Mizzou.
Those big 4 programs aren't going to settle and hire those mid major guys. They are going to try a hail mary at someone like Heupel types. It doesn't mean he is looking elsewhere, but if you are Josh Heupel and these 4 programs missed out on Kiffin and their other A Tier guys and they come calling, you have to listen. Could result in getting a new deal at Tennessee or maybe one of those schools offer a crap ton of money.
LSU or Auburn or Penn State getting Heupel on the back of missing out on Kiffin will seem like a great hire over the Golesh, Sumrall, Stein types.