10-2 is đźš« the standard for making the CFP.

#105
#105
volfan102455 said:
This assumes that Bama, UGA and Ole Miss also end up at least 10-2.
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I see Ole Miss at 9-3. I think they lose @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma and they'll drop a dumb one between Florida, South Carolina and Mississippi State. Why? They haven't played anybody yet. Yes, they beat LSU, but LSU is turning out to be overrated. They probably should've lost to Arkansas as well.
 
#106
#106
10-2 was the bar last year. It might be 9-3 this year. If the parity of teams keeps increasing it could eventually be 8-4. Just because it was 10-2 for the 1st year doesn’t mean 10-2 will be the standard in the future.
 
#107
#107
It wasn't the final record. It was how the standings played out. Ole Miss bungled a game and it bumped us back up. We were out after the loss at UGA. 10-2 was never the criteria. And it certainly isn’t this season. Win the league, or hope. Simple as that.
 
#108
#108
VFL-82-JP said:
10-2 is no guarantee for Army. Or Iowa State. Or Cincinnati.

But any SEC or B10 team at 10-2 or better, they're gonna be in the playoffs. There just won't be that many of them, after the entire season plays out.

The NCAA and CFP can put whatever they wish on their web site...and it can even be true in general. But not for the big boys. Being at or near the top of those two conferences, that's too powerful for the Committee to ignore.

Go Vols!
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I think this is right I just don't think they can keep a SEC or B1G team out of the playoffs with 10 wins. The easiest schedule path in these 2 conferences are harder than any other conference school IMO.
 
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#114
#114
VFL-82-JP said:
Looks to me after doing some math like there are probably going to be about four (maybe three, maybe five) SEC teams with a 10-2 or better record in the regular season. And those three to five will be among these eight programs: A&M, Bama, LSU, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Texas, and UGa.

Don't worry about Mizzou or Vandy, they're both crashing to earth here soon enough (Mizzou soon to face Bama, Auburn, A&M, Miss St, and Oklahoma ... Vandy with Bama, LSU, Texas, Auburn, and the Vols ahead ... oh, and they play each other, guaranteeing someone another loss).

Who has the easiest remaining road of those eight? Well, Ole Miss only has UGa and Oklahoma as major remaining challenges. A&M has LSU and Texas. UGa has Ole Miss and Texas. We have Bama and Oklahoma. Of course, we and UGa already have one loss, so our margin of error is narrower. But I'd gamble on two or three of those teams being in the playoffs at end of season.

Harder roads belong to Bama (they still face us, LSU and Oklahoma, with 1 loss already) ... LSU (A&M, Bama, and Oklahoma) ... and Texas (still Oklahoma, UGa, and A&M with 1 loss already on the board). Oklahoma takes the cake, though, most challenging path ahead of all (still to face Texas, Ole Miss, the Vols, Bama, and LSU!).

My guess is only one of those gets through their gauntlet with 2 losses or fewer.

So two or three of Ole Miss, A&M, UGa, and us ... plus one of Bama, LSU, Texas, and Oklahoma (only including Oklahoma for completeness' sake; they're not going to make it).

All three or four of those teams will be in the playoffs. Guaranteed.

No matter what the NCAA web site tells you.

Go Vols!
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Assuming us being 10-2, you’re right that OU isn’t going to make it. They are staring down the barrel of an SEC gauntlet. I also seriously doubt Texas runs the table.

That leaves:

A&M, Bama, LSU, Ole Miss, Tennessee and UGa.

I think the SEC gets 4 in, but if the other teams on this list win the games they’re favored in, I don’t like our chances. Our best win would be against Oklahoma at home and they’ll probably have 2 losses by the time we play.

The good news is there is ALWAYS upsets in the SEC. We just need to root for whoever is playing against A&M, OM, UGA, LSU, Bama,
 
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#115
#115
it’s also worth mentioning that we should improve more down the stretch than any other team with the players we have coming back plus joey getting more familiar with the offense and SEC speed
 
#116
#116
bpalmer28 said:
it’s also worth mentioning that we should improve more down the stretch than any other team with the players we have coming back plus joey getting more familiar with the offense and SEC speed
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That's true enough, but my biggest concern isn't their offense vs our defense, it's how we match up against that wicked OU defense. This game reminds me of our game against them last year but in reverse.
 
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