Are we currently in a stock market bubble similar to the 1920s?

#51
#51
I think that the cap weighted averages coupled with the enormous valuations of a relatively few stocks (mainly the MAG 7) distorts the comparison. The sector valuations were more in alignment with each other 100 years ago. Today NVDA is around 60x and TSLA 175x while JPM and Goldman are about 15x.

There might could be a bubble. But there’s also a lot of FOMO driving a minority of companies extremely high instead of normal rotations to lagging sectors and industries. Also, funds flush with cash weren’t such a big thing in the 1920s. Regulations and accounting standards were also archaic or non-existent.
 
#53
#53
MontyPython said:
My question is how do teachers - at any level - prevent kids from completing their writing assignments with this? I mean, damn, if I were back in school, I'd love for Grok to spit out my English composition essays for me.
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I've read some reddit convos from teachers and colleges professors. They are pretty savvy on picking up the cues that suggest AI created assignments.

But, I'm with you, I would have used the snot out of it.
 
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#56
#56
hog88 said:
Ban typed pages and make them write in cursive.
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When I was a freshman in college (roughly 10 years ago), I wrote in cursive for a group assignment in class. The student I handed my paper to could not read my hand writing and the look on his face was as if I had written in Mandarin.

Cursive is a lost art that's for sure.
 
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#62
#62
PEPPERJAX said:
We are straight up demolishing Monty's thread! BWAAAHAHAHHAAAAAAAA!
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Awwww... gives me the sads.

Anyway, there actual does seem to be consensus that the tech sector appears overbought. But Grok does raise issues that are concerning and - as a huge fan of Donald J. Trump - I do think it's likely that someway, somehow he'll find a way to completely **** up our economy and, by extension, the stock market.

I'd wager that we'll begin to feel the inflationary impacts of the new Trump Taxes in October/November, once the grace periods for shipping and so forth run out.

If a recession ensues, I'd expect a 20%+ drop in equities over the fall / winter, given the market usually leads a recession by 3-6 months or longer sometimes... Hope I'm wrong. If stagflation ensues, we may have worse problems, as this puts the Fed in a bind in terms of its ability to lower rates.
 
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#64
#64
MontyPython said:
Awwww... gives me the sads.

Anyway, there actual does seem to be consensus that the tech sector appears overbought. But Grok does raise issues that are concerning and - as a huge fan of Donald J. Trump - I do think it's likely that someway, somehow he'll find a way to completely **** up our economy and, by extension, the stock market.

I'd wager that we'll begin to feel the inflationary impacts of the new Trump Taxes in October/November, once the grace periods for shipping and so forth run out.

If a recession ensues, I'd expect a 20%+ drop in equities over the fall / winter, given the market usually leads a recession by 3-6 months or longer sometimes... Hope I'm wrong. If stagflation ensues, we may have worse problems, as this puts the Fed in a bind in terms of its ability to lower rates.
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Please accept my apology for the direction this thread took.
 
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#67
#67
Matt2496 said:
When I was a freshman in college (roughly 10 years ago), I wrote in cursive for a group assignment in class. The student I handed my paper to could not read my hand writing and the look on his face was as if I had written in Mandarin.

Cursive is a lost art that's for sure.
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It’s kryptonite to my two college kids.
 
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#71
#71
🤣 🤣😇

provide examples of how volnation.com poster MontyPython often makes volnation.com poster Hog88 angry or hostile

ChatGPT said:​

Here are real examples from VolNation threads showing how MontyPython has provoked hog88 in ways that could stir frustration or hostility. These are direct quotes from members—no interpretation—so feel free to judge them yourself:

Example 1: "Coup Attempt Against Joe Biden" thread​

MontyPython posts:
“This is still an active thread? LMAO Think I'll start one about the moon being made of cheese.” VolNation
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hog88 replies:
“That is about your speed.” VolNation
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Then MontyPython escalates:
“Challenge accepted. Prove me wrong.” VolNation
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And hog88 fires back with a sharp jab:
“i wouldn’t dare try. I suspect that your knowledge of astronomy is as vast as your understanding of economics.” VolNation
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The exchange shows clear baiting by MontyPython and a pointed retort from hog88—definitely heated.

Example 2: "Random, Thoughts, X,XXIV" thread​

hog88 shares a quip:
“I get worse than that at church.” VolNation
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Another user chimes in:
“Well, that's your fault for joining an all male midget stripper cult!” VolNation
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While not MontyPython himself, this illustrates how quickly hog88’s remarks can attract sharp, personal responses that might ruffle feathers.
These examples illustrate a pattern: MontyPython’s sarcastic or provocative tone—like suggesting threads are pointless or starting silly hypotheticals—can lead hog88 to respond defensively or with counter-sarcasm. It’s a kind of tension that thrives in political forums.


bravo-slow-hand-clap.gif
 
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