BeardedVol
Living rent-free in trout-vol's head.
- Joined
- Nov 6, 2012
- Messages
- 20,510
- Likes
- 33,625
The irony, you call me a moron and make up a whole statement that I never said.
There is no reason to kill 33 million people, only the ones in front of the FABs/artillery, bring everything to the ground. This is the biggest demolition in the existence of man in one location.
The objective is to just flatten everything as they move west, if people die.... they die. It would seem prudent to move West, if they wish to live.
Exactly what I said, I actually said it was boring. (see other posts) They are speeding up the pace but its same play over and over at this point. Maybe they will switch it up and start using the TUs for delivery of the FABs in larger quantity.... still the same play. Real wars are won by leveling **** down to the ground... lost art until now.
Well, unless they were successful there is no way of securing a logistics line that far into enemy territory, which is why they are now onto flattening the county mode. I don't think you have to worry about them trying that again as they will just flatten everything. Its a ton easier to just flatten everything, not much different between what Israel is doing except Russia is doing it at a massive scale. It takes time to deconstruct a country of that size, the Ukraine is the size of Texas in area and the amount of energy to flatten is huge - it will take time, resources and energy.
the problem for the Russians is pretty much the same. Their current strategy isn't built to take advantage of a lack of Ukrainian numbers. They have to have the bodies to take advantage of this. A blitz/shock and awe would absolutely tear up weak defensive lines and capture tons of prisoners.![]()
Ukraine is at great risk of its front lines collapsing
According to high-ranking Ukrainian officers, the military picture is grim and Russian generals could find success wherever they decide to focus their upcoming offensive.www.politico.eu
grim observation on manpower.
Again, everything is wrong. Here is what really happened.
Russia thought they could just swing their military dick around without a plan and Ukraine would fold. They sent their army to take Kiev in a long convey with no logistical planning or training of their men.
Their special forces tried to take airport and got their tails kicked by Ukrainians. Meanwhile their convey stalled without a plan or logistical equipment and the casualties mounted. They had to pull out.
Their diversionary attacks in the East had some success so Russia pulled out and re-enforced those fronts which turned into a stale mate now that Russia burned through its best resources trying to take Kiev. This is where we are currently are at 2 years later. Russia still hasn't won and they are too prideful to say they messed up. Ukraine wasn't the pushover they expected so now they are just fighting for pride and are caught up in a war that continues to diminish their resources. They are trying to adjust their plan to focus on the "land bridge" with Crimea and coastline as that is their secondary objective if they cannot get all of Ukraine. None of their new "plans" have worked well either and it has turned into an ugly war of attrition.
No, they cannot physical kill all of Ukraine, as you alluded to, it is the size of Texas and has over 30 million people. So your "flatten everything" is unrealistically impossible for Russia to achieve without going Nuclear.
This entire conflict has exposed the corruption and incompetence in the Russian military system.
No, they cannot physical kill all of Ukraine, as you alluded to, it is the size of Texas and has over 30 million people. So your "flatten everything" is unrealistically impossible for Russia to achieve without going Nuclear.
You say everything is wrong than go on to agree with me, they tried to take out the government at the top.... it obviously didn't work. It has nothing to do with lack of planning, the plan didn't work... this is in art of war. They took the chance and lost. So what?
This would have resulted in less blood shed and destruction, either way it didn't work and they probably won't make that same mistake again. Onto the flattening mode.
I never alluded to it, they will take out everyone that is in front of their artillery or FABS, meaning you move west or you die. If people stand in the way, they will be killed. You say its impossible but it seems to be working quite well. Don't get me wrong it will take time, I said 1-2 years ago it could take over a decade. Depending on ammo/men situation, it could impact the time table of the advance one way or another, but there is no winning move or series of moves on the chest board for the Ukraine that is present.
Hopefully it doesn't come to all that, my guess (best case maybe hopeful thinking) is the United States just lets it all go come November.
Got it, maybe we are not far off as we think. My bad for misunderstanding your posts.
Russia tried an early blitzkrieg that failed so they are doing the long, old fashion, WW1 type push.
Yup. I mean the plan was to just take out the government, this resulted in large losses by Russia. I don't think anyone disputes Russia took losses that it could have avoided. I seriously doubt they do that again. I agree this is a combination of WW1/2 with new tech, but its really the same thing i.e. a real war instead of all this U.S. stuff of causing trouble everywhere. The present plan is to flatten the area in front of them... move west, but Russia does still have to take losses to create cauldron's around the village/towns/cities to gain fire control out of these areas. Ukraine has to find people (they'll have to move onto women and children at some point) to fill the ditches to accept the FABs to the forehead.
Its the same play... over and over... and they appear to be getting better at it. I don't see a solution to be honest. Give the Ukraine 1000 F-16s... what does that do? Not much, matter of fact, they won't have the personnel or ability to even do anything with most of them. Give them F-35s, or B-1s, or B-2s, etc. what does it really do? Nothing, not really.
All the factors on the battlefield only change the timetable not the end result - at least with what is present.
Right now the Ukraine needs to find more and more people to get in those ditches to receive those Fabs and artillery shells in the face, if they can fine them... this can go on for some time.
where is this EU only deal? Surely it must have come about and been readily signed in after Yanukovych left?Let's go back to the Fall of 2013... when Viktor Yanukovych, the elected president at the time, was deciding on an economic trade deal. Because Ukraine had a lot of Soviet legacy ties to Russia and a clear demographic leaning of Western Ukrainians towards Europe, Yanukovych wanted to make a pragmatic and reasonable deal where Ukraine would be able to trade freely with both the EU and with Russia/Eurasian markets. But for the EU and NATO (United States), that was not good enough. We didn't want a neutral Ukraine. We wanted a Ukraine that was either 100% with us or not. So Yanukovych made the decision to chose to cut a trade deal with Russia... and with good reason at the time. Keep in mind that the EU was showing signs of being a basket case in 2013. You had the PIIGS crisis in the EU (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain) where these countries had tremendous debt issues and were forced into austerity measures by Brussels and Germany.
I say all of that to say that even economic neutrality, much less military neutrality, was not going to be permitted to Ukraine because we (United States) wanted to clearly use Ukraine as a wedge and battering ram against Russia.
Yep, been this way from the beginning. Ukrainian troops have used civilian infrastructure as military installments.
I feel like both sides are taking heavy attrition though. Russia is using the war to clean out its minorities, however. They haven't conscripted from Moscow or St Petersburg very much but are heavily conscripting rural Russia and parts of Russia that have non-Russians. It is a playbook from Stalin who really allowed the non-Russian members of the USSR to suffer more during WW2 and prior.
hold on hold on hold on. what?The OSS/CIA have been using Ukrainian nationalists since the mid-1940s. First to be an insurgency group in the Soviet Union and then as a destabilizing force inside of Ukraine on the Russian Federation's border. The Moscow terror attack is just one example of why the Russians consider a hostile entity like those Nazis to be dangerous... as would the United States if you had Puerto Rican or Mexican nationalist terror outfits.
freaking lol. some huge Russian break thru that was.Looks like the Russians are making advances in Chasiv Yar...
I don't really keep up with all that, I don't think Russia has done any general mobilization but there are some disputes as to that. You don't have the large scale videos of people being put in vans. I would be a little surprised by Russia running out of men or ammo on most stuff (gas might be problem with refineries being hit). Now they have found systems to increase the rate of flattening i.e. FABs. Hypersonic missiles are pretty good but not at scale i.e. expense. FABS are a fraction of a fraction (cost) of hypersonic or cruise missiles.
As I type, Russians took another small town Bohdanivka, and are now doing the same play on Bilohorivka i.e. encircling.
The javelins/stingers are good tools in a war but most U.S. systems really aren't for real wars. Expensive burnable material.
The United States would be better off taking that $60 billion and paying each Russian soldier $240,000 to switch sides, they could buy 250,000 of them.
Clown world.
freaking lol. some huge Russian break thru that was.
a whopping 7.5 miles from downtown Bakhmut. about 5 from the western edge of the city.
congrats to the Russians to taking the next houses back yard.
Its been almost 11 months. The Russians are taking an AVERAGE of a METER an hour, for a year. this is what the grand Russian victory looks like. Taking two steps forward in an hour. against an enemy they have apparently completely destroyed, and left with no weapons or equipment to fight back. the west has run out of the ability to prop up Ukraine, and Russia is only able to take a METER AN HOUR.
Russia is not a threat to anyone in the west. I don't care which side says they are, its just a pure lie. Russia is not going to be able to springboard from defeating Ukraine to be a threat to NATO. Russia would not be able to continue this fight against NATO.
That being said. USA (and NATO) has been mostly sending outdated equipment to Ukraine and the money we are spending is upgrading our forces with better weapons to replace those outdated equipment.
freaking lol. some huge Russian break thru that was.
a whopping 7.5 miles from downtown Bakhmut. about 5 from the western edge of the city.
congrats to the Russians to taking the next houses back yard.
Its been almost 11 months. The Russians are taking an AVERAGE of a METER an hour, for a year. this is what the grand Russian victory looks like. Taking two steps forward in an hour. against an enemy they have apparently completely destroyed, and left with no weapons or equipment to fight back. the west has run out of the ability to prop up Ukraine, and Russia is only able to take a METER AN HOUR.
Russia is not a threat to anyone in the west. I don't care which side says they are, its just a pure lie. Russia is not going to be able to springboard from defeating Ukraine to be a threat to NATO. Russia would not be able to continue this fight against NATO.
The United States could send the Ukraine all the new F-35s they have and it won't make bit of difference, there is no real system or systems that the United States has that can change the end result there other than nukes.
Artillery ammo would change the timetable but only the time would be impacted, it doesn't change the result. More men will change the timetable but not change the result.
Only if you are desperate.The irony, you call me a moron and make up a whole statement that I never said.
There is no reason to kill 33 million people, only the ones in front of the FABs/artillery, bring everything to the ground. This is the biggest demolition in the existence of man in one location.
The objective is to just flatten everything as they move west, if people die.... they die. It would seem prudent to move West, if they wish to live.
Exactly what I said, I actually said it was boring. (see other posts) They are speeding up the pace but its same play over and over at this point. Maybe they will switch it up and start using the TUs for delivery of the FABs in larger quantity.... still the same play. Real wars are won by leveling **** down to the ground... lost art until now.
Well, unless they were successful there is no way of securing a logistics line that far into enemy territory, which is why they are now onto flattening the county mode. I don't think you have to worry about them trying that again as they will just flatten everything. Its a ton easier to just flatten everything, not much different between what Israel is doing except Russia is doing it at a massive scale. It takes time to deconstruct a country of that size, the Ukraine is the size of Texas in area and the amount of energy to flatten is huge - it will take time, resources and energy.
Pilots matter more than equipment as well. F-35s do "no good" without great pilots to fly them.
There are multiple factors:
> pilots (trained pilots)
> support equipment
> parts (logistics)
> trained repair and support personnel
> adequate facilities and landing strips
None of that really exists there.
Its hard to imagine how the facilities are not hit by hypersonics at that point as well because the expense/reward becomes heavily in Russia's side at that point. I don't even know how they could be used even with the JDAMs, I mean Russia is moving their lines forward at this point... maybe defensive positions where they are not advancing?
You're looking at a 3-5 year program involving many thousands to just get things going let alone really have a realistic option to use them.
Most U.S. systems really aren't built for a real war.
We are giving them systems to. Also regarding facilities, a lot of Western Ukraine is still very much intact and they can use those areas. Keep in mind that over half of Ukraine hasn't even been touched by Russia (noticeable the part near Lviv where most the supplies are flowing into).
They can all be reached by hypersonic missiles and drones, there really is limited to no defense to the hypersonic.
True but Russia used a lot of that weaponry up in the Kiev offensive. I think that is why they were forced to resort to WW1 tactics.
Sure, I think Russia has more of those weapons but they are holding onto them for any, theoretical, future conflict and don't have the spare weapons to use other than an attack here and there. Ukraine also has these weapons.
Ukraine has facilities but definitely not the pilots. Logistics (i.e. Oil) maybe an issue as well.
