Ultimately I think Hesiman voters will see who Hooker beat and how he played against them and that'll matter more than total stats.
Hendo vs top 25
@ Pitt: 64.3% 352 total yards 2 total TDs 0 ints
vs UF: 78.6% 461 total yards 3 total TDs 0 ints
@ LSU: 63.0% 295 total yards 2 total TDs 0 ints
vs Bama: 70.0% 441 total yards 5 total TDs 1 int
CJ Stroud vs top 25
vs ND: 70.6% 224 total yards 2 total TDs 1 int
Hendo will face 2 or 3 more top 25 teams before the regular season is over (depending on how South Carolina plays before our matchup with them, which they should be able to beat Missouri & Vandy).
CJ Stroud will face just 2 top 25 teams (Penn State & Michigan) the only other team that could be top 25 he'll face is Maryland.
So when the voting happens Hendo will have faced 6 or 7 top 25 teams vs CJ facing 3 or 4. If the numbers are close I think it's pretty reasonable to think Hooker wins it.
Current totals
Hendo: 70.6% 2093 passing yards 18 TDs 1 INT 315 rushing yards 3 TDs
Stroud: 70.0% 2023 passing yards 28 TDs 4 INTs -9 rushing yards 0 TDs