FLVOL_79
GS-16 Classified
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- Feb 12, 2011
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Well one thing that was more like nails on the chalkboard and doesn't have much to do with his analysis was the fact that he didn't even pronounce Kherson (he kept saying "Harison") or Zaporizhzhia (he completely butchered that name at one point) correctly, indicating to me that he doesn't understand the language or done enough to at least learn the names of the towns. From my understanding, New Atlas has an understanding of the language and is able to likely go to sources from both Ukraine and Russia to piece the picture together.Agreed the situation is dynamic but the analysis is still helpful to understand doctrine and tactics as well as measure what is actually happening now because it is following closely to how he projected it. Next step will be to see what the result will be? successful zerg or overreach?
I dont see how you can compare that analysis to Chris Cappy. This guy sounds like an intel analyst giving mostly his opinions, whereas Cappy is giving a clear and far more granular assessment of man and material movements as well as a good understanding of the impact of the weaponry being brought to bear and tactical plays of each side.
I think the New Atlas guy has some interesting observations but he doesnt support them sufficiently. I get that he was USMC in the past but again, it is a state department level analysis and not a military one.
A large portion of the Russian population has this weird fictionalized belief system that essentially makes Russia out to be some sort of quasi Nazi-Scientology-Master Race thing. They think Russian is a race, and the top one. They think, like you mentioned, that WW2 was Russia reacting and ALWAYS gloss over the fact they were Hitlers allies during the early part of the war. They believe things like humans originated out of Russia, all major historical figures were actually Russian, NATO and the US is itching to take them over (lol no one cares about them). Its a constant deluge of nutbaggery.
What us sane people see is a country whose false identity has been forged out of centuries of failure and embarrassment and who missed the bus to be part of the West and is full of jealous rage. Russia is like a mildly retarded teenager from a trailer park suffering from acromegaly. They are big, they are kind of strong, but they are clumsy and not smart. They can't figure out why the cool kids won't hang out with them so they essentially mingle with worse, much weaker versions of themselves at the trailer park down the street where the trailers sit on blocks.
Russia is not a country!
Russia is not even an empire!
Russia is CIVILIZATION!
The West understood this, but ignored and threatened!
Well, now we've come with REVENGE!
Join the Russian World!