hog88
Your ray of sunshine
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The law went into effect in 2002. The buyback portion was in 2003.
No we agreed that it was precisely why they dropped.So we agree that’s not why homicides dropped in 2002.
It seems you’re failing all around. You can’t tell me why white homicide rates are on par with countries that have far less guns. You can’t tell me why New Hampshire has more guns, poverty, looser laws, and essentially the same homicides as Canada.
You’ve yet to show anything that points to the issue actually being the guns.
National Handgun Control Agreement in Australia
Does anyone know what a "counterfactual condition" means in this context, because the base definition means "not real"?From the linked study..........
In the synthetic control approach that compared the overall homicide trends in Australia pre- and post-NFA with trends from 28 other countries aggregated and weighted to create a counterfactual condition, Bartos et al. (2020) found that the reduction in overall homicide experienced by Australia was about 50 percent larger than would have been expected had Australia not enacted the NFA, although the greatest decline (and deviation in total homicide rates between Australia and the synthetic control) occurred not in 1996 but in 2002, which coincides with the passage of the National Handgun Control Agreement in Australia.
Does anyone know what a "counterfactual condition" means in this context, because the base definition means "not real"?
NopeIs this what you’re talking about? The 2003 act? That lowered homicides in 2002?
National Handgun Buyback Act 2003
The homicide rate in the US has also fallen over the last 25 years. Do you think it's due to us banning guns, or maybe something else?False
Gun Control in Australia, Updated - FactCheck.org
In fact, the most recent government report on crime trends in Australia says, “Homicide in Australia has declined over the last 25 years. The current homicide incidence rate is the lowest on record in the past 25 years.”
Actually, Australian crime statistics show a marked decrease in homicides since the gun law change. According to the Australian Institute of Criminology, a government agency, the number of homicides in Australia did increase slightly in 1997 and peaked in 1999, but has since declined to the lowest number on record in 2007, the most recent year for which official figures are available.”
