Ball St, our season opener, has played 3 P5 teams in the past 3 years:
2021 Penn St - gave up 44 points
2019 Indiana - gave up 34
2019 NC State - gave up 34
37 ppg allowed on average.
How many do we score with Hooker, Tillman (albeit, still questionable), Bru, Hyatt, Jimmies, Small/JWill, etc?
I'm thinking 55.
Cool story & Ball State preseason SP+ forecast -
After beating us last year, Kenny Pickett and the Pitt Panthers returned home the following week to host Western Michigan. The Broncos defeated the then 13th ranked and eventual ACC champion Narduzzi boys at Heinz Field in a shootout, 44-41. Three weeks later the Ball State Cardinals travel to Kalamazoo to take on the Broncos and left Waldo Stadium with a 45-20 victory to their credit.
Last year Ball State had a very veteran team, with 10 offensive starters returning on that side of the ball. Their preseason SP+ last year was -1.3 which is pretty high for a MAC team. This year their returning production on offense ranks #118 and on defense ranks #127. Their preseason SP+ this year has fallen to -18.9. Nothing looks good for them this year but they do have a lot of older guys and so far this year they’ve brought in guys from UCLA, Iowa State, and Michigan State to bolster their defense.
A week or so ago some idiot in the FF started a thread that said something to the effect of “Don’t take Ball State lightly”. I didn’t even bother. smh.
Mike Neu is their head coach. He spent a lot of time in his early years coaching Arena football then spent a few years as a pro scout for the New Orleans Saints. In 2012 & 2013 he was the quarterbacks coach at Tulane and then moved up to be the quarterbacks coach with the Saints in 2014 & 2015. In 2016 he took the head coaching job at Ball State and in 2020 won the MAC championship.
Our matchup with the Cardinals will feature what the preseason SP+ ranks as the nation;s 3rd best offense against the nation's 125th best defense and Ball State's 119th ranked offense against the nation's expected 42nd best defense.
Last year in the first half against Missouri we scored 6 consecutive TDs to start the game and added a FG before halftime. (I took extra delight in Drinkwitz's postgame press conference). I could see us dropping 8 first half TDs on the Cardinals as we extend Coach Neu's boys a generous southern hospitality welcome to Neyland Stadium. jmo.
Right now this is how their schedule shapes up this year according to the preseason SP+:
