Recruiting Forum Football Talk IV

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Debunking Wisconsin:

Though currently projected a 2-seed by multiple outlets that understand and have insight into the committee...here's why it's bonkers. Despite them being an "impressive" 12-2 on road/neutral games and 8-3 in Q1 games (both appear really good and are 2-seed caliber, if not 1-seed)...


They're NET ranking is 21st.

KenPom has them 31st...

Vegas gives them the 16th best chance of winning it all...

What gives?

A good hint is that their KenPom "luck" rating is #7 out of 350+ teams. Aka they're winning a bunch of very close games. And we all know luck isn't a real thing and everyone regresses to the mean eventually.


A shallow dive reveals:

Out of 24 wins, 19 of them were by 10 points or less (80%). For comparison, out of our 23 wins, only 10 were by 10 or less (44%)

Out of the same 24 wins, a whopping 12 of them were merely by 5 or less (50%). UT? A measly 3 (13%).

Wisconsin could rarely build comfortable leads and won at an unusually high rate in what were close to tossups...maybe 60/40s....maybe even 70/30s at best, within the last few minutes of the game. And yet they won an absurd 86% of games within 5 points. That is mere positive variance and they are no true 2 seed. They are the "10-2 #12 Northwestern football team of 2015" going into our bowl game.

We are better.

That's my story and I'm stickin to it.
 
They call him Coach Mack for a reason.... I'll see myself out
pimp-daddy.gif
 
Joe Buck leaving Fox for ESPN is awesome! No more monotone Super Bowl calls and unknowledgeable World Series play by plays.
Guess I don't really have an opinion on him, though he has a good "radio voice".

All I know is someone needs to clone Gus Johnson so we can have him calling every game. He is absolutely the best of all the current gen. Fwiw, the last gen had some greats...but these days it's like comparing John Ward to Bob. I don't hate Bob. There's just no gusto in his delivery.
 
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