SEC Tournament Seeding

[Big time vol]

This isn't accurate. In conference play Arkansas's median foul differential on the road is 0. At home they have a median differential +6 fouls to their favor. DId you make this graph?

Does the NCAA get a cut of the gate? It does seem the refs are giving home court advantage a new meaning.

 

[Willy14]

So win Saturday and most likely 7/10 matchups in order are…

South Carolina/Mississippi State
Florida/A&M
South Carolina/Mississippi State
LSU/Mississippi State
Mississippi State/A&M
South Carolina/A&M
South Carolina/Mississippi State
Texas A&M/Mississippi State

~92% chance it would be one of these if we win Saturday.

Now with our game over and the LSU and Alamaba game over with, South Carolina and Miss State still our most likely opponents?

 

[golfballs]

Now with our game over and the LSU and Alamaba game over with, South Carolina and Miss State still our most likely opponents?

Yes. And LSU I believe is locked up as the 5 seed. They can beat Arkansas. Honestly I don’t want to see Arkansas again.

 

[zaqhhh]

According to quick numbers I ran

South Carolina and UF are the most likely 7 Seeds

They would play the loser of the MSU/TAMU game

Favorable considering LSU/Bama were options

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Is KY #3 win or lose?
#1 Barn
#2 TN
#3/4 KY or Ark

7/10 USC or Miss State?

 

[TheMookieMonster]

Yes. And LSU I believe is locked up as the 5 seed. They can beat Arkansas. Honestly I don’t want to see Arkansas again.

You’d rather see Kentucky?

 

[Kicker82]

Looks like the 2 seed is locked up and a Kentucky matchup awaits on Saturday if they hold their lead.

 

[zaqhhh]

Is KY #3 win or lose?
#1 Barn
#2 TN
#3/4 KY or Ark

7/10 USC or Miss State?

5-9 could be pretty much anything

LSU and Bama have better Tiebreakers and are likely 5 or 6

SC is a slight favorite for 7 but UF could also finish there, might be some other scenarios

Loser of A&M/MSU gets #10

 

[Tennessee Vols Fan!!!!]

So, who are we likely facing on Friday

 

[golfballs]

You’d rather see Kentucky?

No I mean as the 5 seed LSU could beat whoever they play. Looking now like Arkansas I think.

 

[zaqhhh]

So, who are we likely facing on Friday

SC/UF/MSU/A&M are the mostly likely

There is a 5-6 team logjam in the middle that makes it impossible to get even minimal clarity atm

 

[Dr H Lecter]

So, who are we likely facing on Friday

Sounds like it definitely will be one of the bottom ten teams in the conference.

 

[zaqhhh]

Should be rooting against UF for multiple reasons

If they win, they move Arkansas to our side of the bracket and then also put our first game as much more likely to be LSU or Bama

 

[golfballs]

Is KY #3 win or lose?
#1 Barn
#2 TN
#3/4 KY or Ark

7/10 USC or Miss State?

If they lose they'll be tied w Arkansas and lose head to head. They'd slide to the 4 seed.

 

[zaqhhh]

Scenario 1: Miss St Defeats A&M

#5 ALA 4-2
#6 LSU 3-2
#7 UF 2-2
#8 SC 2-3
#9 MSU 2-4
#10 A&M

Scenario 2: A&M Defeats Miss ST

#5 LSU 4-2
#6 ALA 3-2
#7 SC 2-2
#8 A&M 2-3
#9 UF 1-3
#10 MSU

Please cut me some slack if my numbers are off, but this is what I have for Seeding.

 

[CornbreadVol]

Scenario 1: Miss St Defeats A&M

#5 ALA 4-2
#6 LSU 3-2
#7 UF 2-3 (UF wins Tiebreaker)
#8 SC 2-3
#9 MSU 2-4
#10 A&M

Scenario 2: A&M Defeats Miss ST

#5 ALA 3-2 (ALA wins Tiebreaker)
#6 LSU 3-2
#7 SC 2-2
#8 A&M 2-3
#9 UF 1-3
#10 MSU

Please cut me some slack if my numbers are off, but this is what I have for Seeding.

I think A&M winning is better for us

 

[TheMookieMonster]

I think A&M winning is better for us

Definitely. I think Florida is a much better team since Castleton’s return. I don’t want to face them. Especially if they’ll just sling elbows and injure one of our guys right before March.

 

[calban]

Looks to me like we play winner of Fla/Miss st. then Ky.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

=====================================
1). Aub (15-3)
2). TN (14-4)
3). KY (14-4)
4). Ark (13-5)

5). LSU (9-9)
6). Bama (9-9)
7). USC (9-9)
8). TX AM (9-9)
9). Florida (9-9)
10). Miss State (8-10)

11). Vandy (7-11) at Ole Miss
12). Missouri (5-13)
13). Ole Miss (4-14) Vandy
14). Georgia (1-17)

11 v 14 (Vandy v GA)
12 v 13 (Ole Miss v Missouri)

5 v 12/13 (LSU v Missouri/Ole Miss)
6 v 11/14 (Bama v Vandy/Georgia)
7 v 10 (USC v Miss State)
8 v 9 (A&M v FL)

1 v 8/9 (Barn v A&M/FL)
2 v 7/10 (TN v USC/Miss State)
3 v 6/11/14 (KY v Bama/Vandy/Georgia)
4 v 5/12/13 (Ark v (LSU/Ole Miss/Missouri)

 

[zaqhhh]

=====================================
Is any of 5-10 set?
=====================================
1). Aub (15-3)
2). TN (14-4)
2). KY (14-4)
4). Ark (13-5)

5). Bama (9-9)
5). USC (9-9)
5). Florida (9-9)
5). LSU (9-9)
9). Miss State (8-9) at TX AM
9). TX AM (8-9) Miss State

11). Vandy (6-11) at Ole Miss
12). Missouri (4-13) Georgia
12). Ole Miss (4-13) Vandy
14). Georgia (1-16) at Missouri

Saturday (3/5)
Georgia @ Missouri
Vandy @ Mississippi
Miss State @ TX AM

11 v 14 (Vandy v GA)
12 v 13 (Ole Miss v Missouri)

5 v 12/13 (xx v Missouri/Ole Miss)
6 v 11/14 (xx v Vandy/Georgia)
7 v 10 (xx v xx)
8 v 9 (xx v xx)

1 v 8/9 (Barn v xx/xx)
2 v 7/10 (TN v xx/xx)
3 v 6/11/14 (KY v xx/Vandy/Georgia)
4 v 5/12/13 (Ark v (xx/Ole Miss/Missouri)

Nope literally every spot is contingent on the last game, see my post above

 

[JCP201]

No. 13 Tennessee will be No. 2 seed in SEC Tournament
6pm Friday

 

[hUTch2002]

Scenario 1: Miss St Defeats A&M

#5 ALA 4-2
#6 LSU 3-2
#7 UF 2-2
#8 SC 2-3
#9 MSU 2-4
#10 A&M

Scenario 2: A&M Defeats Miss ST

#5 LSU 4-2
#6 ALA 3-2
#7 SC 2-2
#8 A&M 2-3
#9 UF 1-3
#10 MSU

Please cut me some slack if my numbers are off, but this is what I have for Seeding.

I’m actually good either way. I just didn’t want Bama or LSU at the 7.

 

[golfballs]

Getting USC as a potential opponent is the real win

 

[gordonr24]

Getting USC as a potential opponent is the real win

USC or State in the 7/10 matchup is exactly what UT needs

 

[bleedingTNorange]