What is our goal at TN? What is reasonable?
All of us want to compete for championships. That's obviously the goal. But this also is reasonable for Tennessee. We are the second winningest SEC team in history. We have everything that ever other top school in the country does. The only thing that we lack is in state talent that matches up. But if you look at '22, even that is increasing. We have the same facilities, the same money, and even better tradition than schools like AU and GA. All we are lacking is a head coach.
At TN, our schedule is not that difficult. I know that we play in the SEC. But let's be honest, we play 3 guaranteed tough games a year: Bama, Ga, and Fl. Some years we will play 4 tough games if we get a tough West matchup with someone like LSU. And in a horrible year, we may have 5 if we draw a tough west opponent plus schedule someone OOC like an OU rather than a Pitt or a VT. With that schedule, in most years 9-3 at least should be the expectation at TN, and that's with losing to the top 3. A bad year would be 8-4, and that's with losing to the top 3 plus the tough west matchup or the tough OOC. And a disaster year would be 7-5 and that's losing to everyone of those.
This is not that hard. We will recruit a roster more talented than 75% of our schedule. As long as our coach doesn't screw it up, 8 wins should be the floor unless its a really bad year and we go 7-5. This is a reasonable expectation for TN. Literally any head coach who is even decent, average, can do that here.
Now, some will scream, "but we aren't doing that and that means that isn't true!" No, we haven't had good coaching. We hired a guy who would have done that in Kiffin. He bolted. We panicked and hired a guy that we had no business hiring, and we began to bury our program. Since Kiffin, we have hired guys who should have never been interviewed at TN, let alone given the job. Now, I understand the Pruitt hire, thanks to Currie, we had three options, Pruitt, Tucker, or Steele. This board was basically unanimous for Pruitt at the time and, tbh, I thought he had a shot to be a good coach. He still does, he just isn't ready yet.
But just because we've made 3 bad hires following Kiffin does not mean that we shouldn't still expect to find a coach who can give us what we are looking for. We are asking for 9-11 wins a year with a chance to win it all if everything goes right with the right QB, or if everything goes wrong 7-5 at worse. That isn't hard to do.
Hugh Freeze brings that now. Right now. We hire him and next year we are no worse than 7-5. I really believe that. I think we'd actually have a shot at 9 with him next year. Even if it is not Hugh, there are others who we could hire that would bring that. Campbell likely brings that, Fickell likely brings that, maybe even Sarkisain, Napier or Chadwell. We need to get serious and remember who we are. We aren't asking to be a dynasty. We are asking to be respected again. 9-11 wins every year brings that. Bring us that guy.