Amateur Hour Continues

It may not be turnout. I tend to think that it is, but it could just be people who usually vote going to vote early.

This is what I’m thinking also , if I had to guess I’d say 75% of our political ads are geared or were geared here , toward voting early either by mail or in person .
 
It may not be turnout. I tend to think that it is, but it could just be people who usually vote going to vote early.
Obviously there's a lot of election day cannibalization happening. But this much? It seems likely in some states they'll be at or near the 2016 total before November 3.

 
I am absolutely giddy with the speculation that the high voter turnout in Texas is due to some kind of blue awakening. Hey red voters look at this BS and go “oh HELL no!” in droves also.
 
Obviously there's a lot of election day cannibalization happening. But this much? It seems likely in some states they'll be at or near the 2016 total before November 3.


82% of 2016 turnout is wild.

Interesting that many of the states on that list are traditionally red states.
 
Some very interesting polling here.

Early voters are breaking heavy to Biden. The procrastinators are breaking to Trump, but not by the same amounts.



 
I am absolutely giddy with the speculation that the high voter turnout in Texas is due to some kind of blue awakening. Hey red voters look at this BS and go “oh HELL no!” in droves also.
I don't think Biden will win Texas, but some of the congressional districts sure appear to be turning blue.
 
  • Like
Reactions: tvolsfan
If Biden doesn't win, the Monday morning quarterbacking is going to be 10x the "why Hillary didn't campaign in WI??" stuff we saw in 2016.

 
It seems like deja-vu, doesn’t it? He ought to be in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
Either (1) they think they're where they need to be in those states, or (2) the campaign is a strategic disaster.

I don't think we'll know which it is until next week.

Iowa does have a close senate race. The Texas appearance smells like trolling.
 
Either (1) they think they're where they need to be in those states, or (2) the campaign is a strategic disaster.

I don't think we'll know which it is until next week.

Iowa does have a close senate race. The Texas appearance smells like trolling.
The down ballot races seem like a plausible explanation. Biden is going to Georgia, too. Maybe they think Cornyn is vulnerable.

The GA and TX polling is the main thing that makes me think the polls are wrong. Gonna have to see the electors from those states vote Biden before I believe they flip.
 
  • Like
Reactions: tvolsfan
Now I was told Biden called a lid on the campaign.
We're getting an unprecedented (modern) test case in just how important campaign rallies are. My assumption has been the campaign decided that as long as it's safely ahead, it's going to go super conservative (i.e., prevent defense) and limit the chances for Gramps Biden to make gaffes.

Fine if he wins, I suppose, but if he doesn't . . . see post #33,738.

I gotta say (even as someone who's voting for him), it does make me wonder how much he wants to win.
 
Spoken like a confident candidate.
ElVMau9WMAE8rnw
 
Advertisement





Back
Top