Posted this in the Politics forum, but interested to see what people think of this info in considering herd immunity....
NYC, for better or worse, is a great data source because of the degree of testing. Currently NY state is testing around 25,000/1million people. That’s better than most all countries. For example, everyone’s gold standard of South Korea is testing at 10,500/1 million people.
So, taking the population of NYC under 65, the total population is 7,322,785. Of those, 84,836 (1.1%) have tested positive. Of the positive tests, 15491 (18%) have been hospitalized. Of the positive tests <65, 1674 (1.9%) have died. Of those that died <65, 84 (5%) have had zero underlying medical problems. So overall, if you live in NYC and are under the age of 65 and contract COVID-19 and have no other medical issues, you have a 0.01% chance of death