Coronavirus (No politics)

#2,402
#2,402
Alabama coronavirus update
766 cases 0.01% of population
4 deaths 0.5%
88% negative rate (possibly lower some private labs only report positive tests)
State issued order to close beaches and non essential businesses thru 4/17
 
#2,403
#2,403
JacketVol said:
Do you even read posts?
Click to expand...

It's all good man. I've said my piece. If you are still this irate about my position it's clear you didn't read the actual study and are reading misleading headlines instead. Just stop spreading the misinformation is all I ask.

I apologize for using hyperbole when saying that you ever believed things would simply "go back to normal". I was frustrated because I don't understand the disconnect between saying something was revised when it never was revised in spite of misleading articles trying to insinuate such. It's just a misunderstanding of what the original model stated.

We can all agree that Tennessee is the single greatest sports team to walk the face of the earth. Maybe we should just leave it at that.
 
  • Like
Reactions: BartW and JacketVol
#2,406
#2,406
#2,407
#2,407
VolnJC said:
Alabama coronavirus update
766 cases 0.01% of population
4 deaths 0.5%
88% negative rate (possibly lower some private labs only report positive tests)
State issued order to close beaches and non essential businesses thru 4/17
Click to expand...
I’m willing to bet this virus will still be going strong by April 17
 
#2,408
#2,408
InVOLuntary said:
SIAP but this is an interesting study. Projects nationally and on a state level. Predicts infected, deaths, and hospital resources required and available. Predicts peak. Nationally it predicts mid April peak for the country and a slight later peak for Tennessee.

COVID-19 US state-by-state projections
Click to expand...

projects at close to the same percentage for 2.2 million as 20k to 550k for U.K.

How about that baseball fans
 
#2,411
#2,411
JacketVol said:
projects at close to the same percentage for 2.2 million as 20k to 550k for U.K.

How about that baseball fans
Click to expand...
Alabama has 770 cases 85% don't need hospitization but yet in the next month they are gonna need close 4,000 beds? So Alabama is going to have 27k cases in the next month or 0.5% infection rate? The highest infected rate on the planet is Switzerland at 0.2% but a warm climate state will have double their rate? Such BS
20200329_124109.jpg
 
#2,412
#2,412
InVOLuntary said:
One thing I noticed was Florida is predicted to peak much later than other southern states.
Click to expand...
If the numbers hold true Tennessee would have more than double the highest total per capita cases on the planet. Right now it's 0.2 percent of population TN would be right at 0.5%
 
#2,413
#2,413
Come on man,

Apples to oranges trying to compare modeling incorporating mitigation and suppression strategies to a "worst case scenario" without any of those variables. This model includes assumptions that these strategies are all enacted "within a week" in states that have not done so and continued thereafter.

"
JacketVol said:
projects at close to the same percentage for 2.2 million as 20k to 550k for U.K.

How about that baseball fans
Click to expand...

From the website:

These estimates can help inform the development and implementation of strategies to mitigate this gap, including reducing non-COVID-19 demand for services and temporarily increasing system capacity. These are urgently needed given that peak volumes are estimated to be only three weeks away. The estimated excess demand on hospital systems is predicated on the enactment of social distancing measures in all states that have not done so already within the next week and maintenance of these measures throughout the epidemic, emphasizing the importance of implementing, enforcing, and maintaining these measures to mitigate hospital system overload and prevent deaths.

Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months
 

Attachments

  • Screen Shot 2020-03-29 at 12.03.28 PM.png
    Screen Shot 2020-03-29 at 12.03.28 PM.png
    1,022.9 KB · Views: 1
#2,414
#2,414
xavierbballfan said:
Come on man,

Apples to oranges trying to compare modeling incorporating mitigation and suppression strategies to a "worst case scenario" without any of those variables. This model includes assumptions that these strategies are all enacted "within a week" in states that have not done so and continued thereafter.

"


From the website:

These estimates can help inform the development and implementation of strategies to mitigate this gap, including reducing non-COVID-19 demand for services and temporarily increasing system capacity. These are urgently needed given that peak volumes are estimated to be only three weeks away. The estimated excess demand on hospital systems is predicated on the enactment of social distancing measures in all states that have not done so already within the next week and maintenance of these measures throughout the epidemic, emphasizing the importance of implementing, enforcing, and maintaining these measures to mitigate hospital system overload and prevent deaths.

Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months
Click to expand...

Forecast. Bet you always believe extended forecast on the weather channel as well.

Good luck with that. They tell us know one knows about this virus but yet everyone does.
 
#2,415
#2,415
VolnJC said:
If the numbers hold true Tennessee would have more than double the highest total per capita cases on the planet. Right now it's 0.2 percent of population TN would be right at 0.5%
Click to expand...
I'm very interested to see how this thing follows the models. TN looks like it will at least be able to handle their prediction medically.
 
  • Like
Reactions: tbh and VolnJC
#2,418
#2,418
ButchPlz said:
Rumors floating the Northam is planning to issue a stay at home order for Virginia for 30 additional days. That'll be the death blow for our business- we've got the cash to cover it, but would rather pull it out and move on.
Click to expand...

You wont be the only one.
 
#2,420
#2,420
Tennessee coronavirus update
1537 total cases = 0.02% of population
7 deaths = 0.4%
133 hospital admissions
19,037 negative results/20,574 tests=93% tested negative
313 cases Shelby
260 Davidson
150 Out of state
Those 3 locations account for 47% of cases
 
  • Like
Reactions: headhunter15
#2,421
#2,421
VolnJC said:
Tennessee coronavirus update
1537 total cases = 0.02% of population
7 deaths = 0.4%
133 hospital admissions
19,037 negative results/20,574 tests=93% tested negative
313 cases Shelby
260 Davidson
150 Out of state
Those 3 locations account for 47% of cases
Click to expand...

My wife works in the hospital and they are practically bending over backwards to NOT test patients that are showing strong symptoms.
 
  • Like
Reactions: WallyBalls
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.
Advertisement





Back
Top