Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

That guy over-predicted the number, and from that you conclude that all of the other models are also wrong?


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I’m saying as we get more data, more people are walking this back.

I think the quarantine is a good idea, but I also think this is being extremely overstated in the media. Look at the real numbers, in context, and compared against total population with the assumption it has been here longer and infected more than we could possibly know.
 
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I’m saying as we get more data, more people are walking this back.

I think the quarantine is a good idea, but I also think this is being extremely overstated in the media. Look at the real numbers, in context, and compared against total population with the assumption it has been here longer and infected more than we could possibly know.


Yep - the models helped shape the reaction in absence of data. No problem with that. As data pours in and models are adjusted we can rely more and more on reality than predicted reality.
 
Some coronavirus homeschool math 100k/330,000,000 equals 0.03% or 99.97% chance of not having the virus and great news even if you are one of the 1/10000 that might get it you have a 99% survival rate.
 
Just called the mayor's office in knoxville.

The lackey on the other end wanted to argue that we hadn't shut society down.

Omg. This is who you let run your lives people!!!!!
 
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