Listen: as a doctor, the hardest thing about this for me is having to tell people that we just don't know. Anyone who says otherwise is FOS. I hate that. I'm not sleeping well. Every day is stressful because I'm supposed to have the answers, and I just don't.
Are the doomsday models right? Are we overreacting? Is China lying? Are our efforts helping? Does isolation potentially cause more harm than good?
I, seriously, have no idea. We are conducting a national/global experiment with no concrete data to go on.
My current position is that it's better to err on the side of caution, NOT lose your #*&! and go buy up all the toilet paper and Beanie Weenies, stay home if you are sick, avoid public gatherings, and see what the numbers look like in a week.
I really would implore those on each extreme position to breathe, give others grace, and see what the next week or so holds.