It may make a difference which side of the ball all that talent is on and how much experience they have. Maybe.
I've continued to look at our series with Florida as my benchmark for our team. The other guys will be irrelevant if we can get the series with Florida on the right track. jmo.
Why did we hire a highly reputable defensive coordinator to be our head coach? Maybe it could have something to do with the idea that between us and Florida, we’ve had the better offense, as measured in yards per play against just conference competition, in 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, & 2016 and only won one of those games. In every single year for the last ten years, since and including 2009 up through 2018, using the same metric, Florida has had the better defense, even in 2016 when we won, they had the better defense for the season. We probably won that year because our offense was so much better than theirs and even though we beat them in 2016 they still won the East.
Florida lost their best playmaker at every level of their defense from last year to the NFL draft. Polite went to the Jets as an edge rusher in round 3 pick 4, Joseph went to the Bills as a LB in round 5 pick 9, and Gardner-Johnson as a safety (STAR for Florida) went to the Saints in round 4 pick 3. We didn’t lose anyone from our defense (or entire team for that matter) that the NFL teams thought it worth spending a draft pick on. We rank #25 in defensive returning production; Florida ranks #43.
I’ll be surprised if Chaney doesn’t have the better offense this year with so much returning production verses Florida having significantly more offensive line issues that we’re expected to have. Florida may have an edge in offensive skill position players but without a line their production is going to be hindered. The key to us flipping the series with Florida likely rests on our commitment to building and consistently fielding a better defense than we have in the recent past. I expect that shift in commitment to begin to show this year which is why I think we will likely win on 9-21 and which should lead to the defeat of all the other also-ran conference teams on our schedule. jmo.
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