2018 Record

I was politely pointing out the error in the logic that seeing an improvement in the toxic culture wasnt going to save this team from getting plowed.😁

I was also pointing out that we can't use that as a basis for prediction because we dont even know that the toxic culture is gone.

But my clearly superior prediction (cough cough) isn't reliant on things that we have to wait and see. It's based on the overwhelming set of circumstances already in place. New coach,new system,tough road opponents,crappy Butch Jones leftover players that weren't good enough to jump ship to the NFL with the exception of a precious few.a less than stellar recruiting class.The fact that playing on the road in the SEC is hard even for experienced teams.the fact that two years in a row we won tough non conference games only to lose to Vanderbily later.

With any good prediction you look at the things you already know are true and work off of that and not say things like "oh the old toxic culture is surely gone and because of that there's no way this team doesn't get better" or something like that.

You'll notice that my prediction doesn't even address Pruitts abilities, his skills or his promising future. Because I dont know any of that and also because even if all of those things are glowingly positive it will have little to no impact on the W-L record that comes out of 2018 because of the other things I already listed.

Sometimes I can come across as castigating I suppose. I mean no harm by it. But how do you politely tell someone their baby is ugly?

In a free and open discussion I'm allowed to tell you why your prediction is wrong and mine is right...lol

So, Vandy fan, correct?
 
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Trolling for cheap "likes", correct?

Nope. I've read multiple posts of yours where you've stated UT has no chance at beating Vandy, and I've never known a Vol fan that was as scared of Vandy as you seem to be. So, my conclusion is you must be a closet Vandy fan.

But, I do really really really hope that I get lots of likes! It makes me feel happy!!!!
 
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Is the fan base so conditioned to losing that you can't even fathom success? Why is so plausible that a team can go from 9-4 to 4-8, but not 4-8 to 9-4? Last years team was not a 4-8 team, we just had a 4-8 coach. I'm not a pumper by any means(check my stats), in fact I was calling for Butch's head after the App State game...but successful coaches can and do overachieve. Mediocre coaches do not. If we go 5-7 this year, Pruitt isn't the right guy for this job. That being said, I think he is the right guy and I think he will do well here if he can overcome the pessimism of the fan base. No reason Pruitt can't win 8 games.
Mich st. did it why not us?
 
Is the fan base so conditioned to losing that you can't even fathom success? Why is so plausible that a team can go from 9-4 to 4-8, but not 4-8 to 9-4? Last years team was not a 4-8 team, we just had a 4-8 coach. I'm not a pumper by any means(check my stats), in fact I was calling for Butch's head after the App State game...but successful coaches can and do overachieve. Mediocre coaches do not. If we go 5-7 this year, Pruitt isn't the right guy for this job. That being said, I think he is the right guy and I think he will do well here if he can overcome the pessimism of the fan base. No reason Pruitt can't win 8 games.

I hope you are right. And I don't think the Coach Pruitt has to worry about a pessimistic fan base when we have folks on here saying we will win ten games. The bigger threat he has is if he wins 6 or seven this first year and the guys with unrealistic expectations start questioning the hire. I agree we were better than a 4 win team last year. I do not think we are getter than a 6 or 7 win team this year. Pruitt can still be the right guy moving forward if he only wins 6 games this year in my opinion. Seven wins is a great success.
 
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Nope. I've read multiple posts of yours where you've stated UT has no chance at beating Vandy, and I've never known a Vol fan that was as scared of Vandy as you seem to be. So, my conclusion is you must be a closet Vandy fan.

But, I do really really really hope that I get lots of likes! It makes me feel happy!!!!

Yeah I'm scared of Vandy. I make all my predictions based on how scared I am and not on logic or reason like "we are UT and we never lose to Vandy except those two years in a row that don't mean anything"

I mean I did graduate from UT.... Twice. But after two losses in a row I converted to a Vandy fan... Lol
 
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I don't care what the media wind bags predict.
If Butch can win 9 win seasons, Pruitt can his first go.
I think 9 wins is obtainable, 10 and we are cookin with peanut oil. 9 is my bar.
8 wins acceptable, but we can win more, below my expectations.
7 and below, I don't think it is happening you negaVol sheep. Funny how everyone takes another opinion and runs with it.
Losses last season? Yeah, the team quit on Butch, as they should have. He was a joke, a tool, turkey and the team knows what football looks like now. Trained by the best. Yeah quite probably the best top to bottom coaching staff.
Nigel Warrior is going to go on a rampage.
9 wins.

If 9 wins THIS season is your "bar", then you're gonna be a very disappointed fan this year I do believe.

And I honestly fear Pruitt more than any other coach in the East, including Kirby.
 
That is a high ceiling and low floor, not going too far out on that limb there are ya? We aren't winning just 6. I seriously doubt we win 7. 8 much more likely than 6 or 7,

But folks, I'm telling you, the King has spoken:

9 wins

That's what floors and ceilings represent, worst and best case scenarios that we should definitely be somewhere between. I want to say we'll win 9 or 10 but a lot has to go right. if forced to put a firm number on it I'd say 8 regular season wins
 
Yeah I'm scared of Vandy. I make all my predictions based on how scared I am and not on logic or reason like "we are UT and we never lose to Vandy except those two years in a row that don't mean anything"

I mean I did graduate from UT.... Twice. But after two losses in a row I converted to a Vandy fan... Lol

Good to see you coming clean, MWAVandyfan. :)
 
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Let's apply some logic and reason, then, shall we?

Vandy has won 4 of the last 6. Ouch!

5 of the last 13. Still yucky.

7 of the last 43. That's better.

Overall, Tennessee leads, 75–32–5, with 19 of those losses occurring in 1926 or before. That means they've won 13 games against UT from 1927- the present.

You see, I'm going to apply a little reasoning. History shows that losing to Vandy is unlikely. We own them. Their recent success against UT is an anomaly due to horrendous coaching. If Pruitt is our guy, we will likely win this game. In another thread you said we have a better chance of beating Florida than Vandy. That's ludacris. Florida has beaten us time and time again even when we have the better team. However, we have beaten Vandy time and time again, even with subpar teams. Even considering their recent success against UT, I'd say the odds are in our favor to win this game.

So yes, I think you seem a little scared of Vandy. It's ok. We got this.

I wonder how many likes this post will get???? A bunch I hope!!!!
 
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Let's apply some logic and reason, then, shall we?

Vandy has won 4 of the last 6. Ouch!

5 of the last 13. Still yucky.

7 of the last 43. That's better.

Overall, Tennessee leads, 75–32–5, with 19 of those losses occurring in 1926 or before. That means they've won 13 games against UT from 1927- the present.

You see, I'm going to apply a little reasoning. History shows that losing to Vandy is unlikely. We own them. Their recent success against UT is an anomaly due to horrendous coaching. If Pruitt is our guy, we will likely win this game. In another thread you said we have a better chance of beating Florida than Vandy. That's ludacris. Florida has beaten us time and time again even when we have the better team. However, we have beaten Vandy time and time again, even with subpar teams. Even considering their recent success against UT, I'd say the odds are in our favor to win this game.

So yes, I think you seem a little scared of Vandy. It's ok. We got this.

I wonder how many likes this post will get???? A bunch I hope!!!!


We will have a better chance of beating Florida and losing to Vandy for the exact same reason. It's extremely difficult for a coach in their 1st year at a program to win road games in the SEC.

Florida will be rolling into Knoxville with a 1st year coach. Tennessee will roll into Nashville with a 1st year coach. Pretty damn simple.

Allmighty Nick Saban had a 2-2 road record in yr 1. 2-3 if you include Florida St.

Urban Meyer was 1-3 on the road in his first year.
 
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We will have a better chance of beating Florida and losing to Vandy for the exact same reason. It's extremely difficult for a coach in their 1st year at a program to win road games in the SEC.

Florida will be rolling into Knoxville with a 1st year coach. Tennessee will roll into Nashville with a 1st year coach. Pretty damn simple.

Allmighty Nick Saban had a 2-2 road record in yr 1. 2-3 if you include Florida St.

Urban Meyer was 1-3 on the road in his first year.

.
 

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I don't care what the media wind bags predict.
If Butch can win 9 win seasons, Pruitt can his first go.
I think 9 wins is obtainable, 10 and we are cookin with peanut oil. 9 is my bar.
8 wins acceptable, but we can win more, below my expectations.
7 and below, I don't think it is happening you negaVol sheep. Funny how everyone takes another opinion and runs with it.
Losses last season? Yeah, the team quit on Butch, as they should have. He was a joke, a tool, turkey and the team knows what football looks like now. Trained by the best. Yeah quite probably the best top to bottom coaching staff.
Nigel Warrior is going to go on a rampage.
9 wins.

Love for it to happen, but highly unlikely. 7 wins would be miraculous.
 
Im not sure why the road games are scaring you all so much. Who hasn't been in a road game in the sec? Pruitt has, most of his staff has, many of our players have, I don't see the issue. People make the home and away thing such a big deal and act like it gives a huge advantage and while I understand having a crowd cheering you is good, I feel like with Neyland being as large as it is, some of the smaller sec stadiums would be less of a distraction than the home field. Does it affect teams? I'm sure it does, but not enough to where it's going to cause this team to automatically lose all of its away games by default.
 
Biggest cliche in college football - but totally accurate - just look at the schedule. Football isn't baseball where 162 games are played. Just go game by game and essentially categorize the games.

The way I see it, there are 3 gimmies:
- ETSU
- UTEP
- Charlotte

3 games that aren't gimmies, but we "should" win:
- Kentucky
- Missouri
- at Vanderbilt

That's 6 wins and a bowl right there, and I think would mark a successful first season.

2 games where we'll be an underdog, but a win wouldn't be the most shocking thing to ever happen:
- Florida
- at South Carolina

1 game where we'll be an underdog, and a win would be very surprising:
- vs West Virginia

3 games we have virtually no chance of winning:
- at Georgia
- at Auburn
- Alabama

If we lose one of the gimmie games or one of the "should" win games, he'll need to win a game from one of the other categories to make up for it. Florida probably being the most likely.

It'll be important for folks to not mail it in early, because there's a very real possibility this team starts the season 2-6. The second half of the schedule, per usual, is much softer.
 
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Hoping for 6-6 and then a bowl win to be 7-6. Anything above 7 wins including a bowl win is just gravy this year. I could see 5-7 as worst case. Hope we do not lose 8 again in my lifetime. GBO
 
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With all due respect you have no idea yet about the stability of the coaching staff or the culture of the team until things played out.

Wrong. It's a given that all or most of our coaching staff will be back next season, which is much more than could be said about the staff in 2017.



Until things start happening on the field you just don't know how they will react. Plus the team is still mostly Butch Jones players who came from that old toxic environment. Once you throw in a brand new coaching staff with brand new offensive and defensive schemes to learn you are going to have massive learning curves. You can't have that and expect to win in the SEC especially on the road.

I'm not expecting our team in 2018 to instantly improve across the board or to master the new schemes by week 1.

I am expecting them to have 100% less of the "f*** this, why should I listen to these coaches when they'll be gone two months from now" attitude. It's not unreasonable to expect that to have a positive impact on performance. How much will it have? No idea. But the impact will be there.


If this team has only 4 wins going into that Vandy game, with no bowl game to play for, the Vols will lose for sure. I'm pretty sure they lose no matter what. Derek Mason knows how to beat TN and until Pruitt has a chance to fully install his system and his players I don't think it will change

We'll see. This is a pretty contrived hypothetical. Going into that Vandy game in Neyland West IMO we're most likely going to be either battling for bowl eligibility or will have just locked it up the week prior.


I was politely pointing out the error in the logic that seeing an improvement in the toxic culture wasnt going to save this team from getting plowed.😁

Having a different opinion than you is not an "error in logic." That's a pretty shallow and narcissistic way to look at it.

I was also pointing out that we can't use that as a basis for prediction because we dont even know that the toxic culture is gone.

This is technically true, I guess. We don't know if it's gone from the lockerroom. We do know that our toxic leadership is gone, though. New coaches always get the benefit of the doubt for at least a season or two.


But my clearly superior prediction (cough cough) isn't reliant on things that we have to wait and see. It's based on the overwhelming set of circumstances already in place. New coach,new system,tough road opponents,crappy Butch Jones leftover players that weren't good enough to jump ship to the NFL with the exception of a precious few.a less than stellar recruiting class.The fact that playing on the road in the SEC is hard even for experienced teams.the fact that two years in a row we won tough non conference games only to lose to Vanderbily later.

And despite all that, the 2017 team was still a 4th quarter play away from beating USCe, UK, and UF.

With any good prediction you look at the things you already know are true and work off of that and not say things like "oh the old toxic culture is surely gone and because of that there's no way this team doesn't get better" or something like that/


You'll notice that my prediction doesn't even address Pruitts abilities, his skills or his promising future. Because I dont know any of that and also because even if all of those things are glowingly positive it will have little to no impact on the W-L record that comes out of 2018 because of the other things I already listed.


You're describing a "safe" prediction, not necessarily a good one. Good predictions entail looking at what you know as well as what can be inferred about a situation and putting the two together.


Also, claiming that Pruitt's abilities and skills will have "little to no impact on the W-L record" is the among most ignorant thing I've ever read on VN. You don't think a good coach can have an impact on his team's record? Seriously?

Sometimes I can come across as castigating I suppose. I mean no harm by it. But how do you politely tell someone their baby is ugly?

In a free and open discussion I'm allowed to tell you why your prediction is wrong and mine is right...lol

Either you don't understand what castigating means or you have little to no self awareness. Football coaches are castigating. Drill instructors are castigating. You just sound like you have a self inflated ego.
 
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We will have a better chance of beating Florida and losing to Vandy for the exact same reason. It's extremely difficult for a coach in their 1st year at a program to win road games in the SEC.

Florida will be rolling into Knoxville with a 1st year coach. Tennessee will roll into Nashville with a 1st year coach. Pretty damn simple.

Allmighty Nick Saban had a 2-2 road record in yr 1. 2-3 if you include Florida St.

Urban Meyer was 1-3 on the road in his first year.

I'm not expecting us to roll into Athens, Auburn, or Columbia and steal a win. But playing on the road at Vandy for us is hardly equivalent to any of those other games. It's a 3 hour drive from Knoxville, half of the team is from around that area, and the stadium is always filled with orange.
 
Love for it to happen, but highly unlikely. 7 wins would be miraculous.

Miraculous? C'mon, man. Anywhere between 5 and 7 games is likely, dependent on how healthy we can stay. Most 7 win teams aren't that much better than 5 win teams.

Take UK for example. They went 7-5 last year, lost to a 4-7 UF, barely beat our worst team in decades, lost to 6-6 Ole Miss, and struggled with EKU. They very easily could have been 5-7 or 8-4 if a few bounces go differently.
 
Biggest cliche in college football - but totally accurate - just look at the schedule. Football isn't baseball where 162 games are played. Just go game by game and essentially categorize the games.

The way I see it, there are 3 gimmies:
- ETSU
- UTEP
- Charlotte

3 games that aren't gimmies, but we "should" win:
- Kentucky
- Missouri
- at Vanderbilt

That's 6 wins and a bowl right there, and I think would mark a successful first season.

2 games where we'll be an underdog, but a win wouldn't be the most shocking thing to ever happen:
- Florida
- at South Carolina

1 game where we'll be an underdog, and a win would be very surprising:
- vs West Virginia

3 games we have virtually no chance of winning:
- at Georgia
- at Auburn
- Alabama

If we lose one of the gimmie games or one of the "should" win games, he'll need to win a game from one of the other categories to make up for it. Florida probably being the most likely.

It'll be important for folks to not mail it in early, because there's a very real possibility this team starts the season 2-6. The second half of the schedule, per usual, is much softer.
I agree with this almost 100%, except I think Mizzou may fall into that second toss up type of category. That game may end up being more difficult than the UF game for us.
 
We will have a better chance of beating Florida and losing to Vandy for the exact same reason. It's extremely difficult for a coach in their 1st year at a program to win road games in the SEC.

Florida will be rolling into Knoxville with a 1st year coach. Tennessee will roll into Nashville with a 1st year coach. Pretty damn simple.

Allmighty Nick Saban had a 2-2 road record in yr 1. 2-3 if you include Florida St.

Urban Meyer was 1-3 on the road in his first year.

A game against Vanderbilt in Nashville is NEVER a road game. Nashville is big orange country, just like the rest of this state. I understand the frustration with some people about losing to Vandy, but it should never happen again whether it be Knoxville or Nashville.
 
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A game against Vanderbilt in Nashville is NEVER a road game. Nashville is big orange country, just like the rest of this state. I understand the frustration with some people about losing to Vandy, but it should never happen again whether it be Knoxville or Nashville.

Amen, brother.
 
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