JCP201
VFL GIRL, better or worse.
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I was thinking the same watching it tonight. Just doesn't seem authentic.
Now that the semester is over, I had some fun with running some regressions based on recruiting and actual wins/loss.
https://dshanemiller.wordpress.com/2014/12/14/yes-virginia-recruiting-stars-do-matter-2014-edition/
For those of you who don't want (or have time) to read, I used an average of the last four classes recruit rankings and ran that against Sagarin's rankings (which factors in strength of schedule).
Two-thirds of the variation in wins/losses can be predicted by recruiting success.
![]()
I then used the residuals to pick out the under- and over-achievers for this year.
![]()
Now that the semester is over, I had some fun with running some regressions based on recruiting and actual wins/loss.
https://dshanemiller.wordpress.com/2014/12/14/yes-virginia-recruiting-stars-do-matter-2014-edition/
For those of you who don't want (or have time) to read, I used an average of the last four classes recruit rankings and ran that against Sagarin's rankings (which factors in strength of schedule).
Two-thirds of the variation in wins/losses can be predicted by recruiting success.
![]()
I then used the residuals to pick out the under- and over-achievers for this year.
![]()
Also, Tennessee's Sagarin Rank was 29, and recruiting average was 14.
