I'm a bit late this week, and honestly, short on time. I am not personally putting a lot of time into the research on this one, but Darth Shiveman has done some good leg work on UGA this week, so I'm borrowing heavily from him. :hi:
Keys to Victory:
1. Defensive Lockdown: The Vols have played excellent second half defense this season, but we have yet to see a full game. UGA QB Eason is a big boy and has a very strong arm. However, he's about as quick as a can of biscuits. He's been sacked 9 times already.
Nick Chubb is banged up with a sprained ankle, but Brian Herrien holds his own in the backfield. UGA has had major problems on the offensive line, and allows a ton of plays for negative yardage. Look for the Tennessee DL to have a big day, and force Eason to make throws under pressure. He hasn't seen anything like this yet.
2. Win the Special Teams:
3. Try the early lead, for a change: The offense has gotten off to a slow start each game. Athens is going to be rowdy, and the UGA fans are concerned about a Tennessee team that has obviously turned the corner, but still think that they could win this.
Tennessee needs to score early, and often, sucking the wind out of the fanbase, and forcing UGA offensive coordinator Jim Chaney into a passing frenzy to catch up, which he prefers. Shoop gave Chaney fits when they were at Vandy and UT, respectively. I think this defense is going to be incredibly fun when playing with a lead for an extended period of time. Let's try it.
4. Full Throttle Offense: Regarding the offensive philosophy of Tennessee, I think everything is on the table. Chad Kelly and Drew Lock have absolutely lit up the UGA secondary. Dobbs found his groove last week, and if he gets pressured, he'll have no problem shredding the Bulldogs with his legs. Last year against UGA, Dobbs went for 315 through the air, and 118 on the ground. Look for Dobbs to continue to roll out to create more time, and for the much improved Tennessee wide receivers to find space to play football.
On the ground, UGA gives up about 4 yards per carry, but they haven't faced RB's like TN... or Dobbs. Much like Florida's "best defense", that stat is about to get exploited.
Prediction: Since 2011, this game has been decided by 8 points or less. This is by far the best Tennessee team in that time frame, and the worst UGA team. In spite of the match-ups and what I see to be a clear advantage to Tennessee, I am predicting another close one, though the Vols should win handily.
TN 31
UGA 23