Trump doing as well as Romney did with women....the question is will Hillary bring in as many people as Obama did?
On the other side of the gender gap, Trump gets 50% of the male vote, the same share as Romney. But Clinton is doing slightly worse among men than Obama was at this point in the 2012 race she captures just 38% of men's votes, compared with Obama's 40%.
Meanwhile, Trump's supposed problem with Republicans isn't showing up in the polls, either. While many prominent GOPers have refused to support his candidacy Ohio Gov. John Kasich announced that he wrote in Sen. John McCain's name when he voted early Trump gets 88% support among likely Republican voters, the same as Romney. Four percent of Republicans say they plan to vote for Clinton, which is also identical to the share of Republicans who said they supported Obama in 2012.
What's more, Trump is doing slightly better with independents than Romney 48% support Trump vs. 46% who backed Romney.
Trump is also doing far better among working class voters 50% of whom back Trump vs 35% who supported Romney.
None of this is to say anything about Trump's chances on Nov. 8. At this point in the race four years ago, Obama had an overall 1.3-point lead over Romney, and went on to win the race by a margin of more than three percentage points.
At the moment, Clinton is ahead of Trump by 0.9 percentage point, although this is down from 4 points just three days ago.