For 2007, to win the SECE:
Florida 4-to-5
UT 5-to-2
UGA 3-to-1
South Carolina 5-to-1
Kentucky 20-to-1
Vandy 35-to-1
To win the SEC:
Florida 5-to-2
LSU 5-to-2
Auburn 7-to-2
Arkansas and UT tied at 6-to-1
Nothing like confidence but I see about 5 losses from UF's D if Moss and Siler don't come out early.
On O, you'll lose Leak in favor of Tebow who did well as a spot player but will face an entirely different scenario next year. You guys probably think this is a wash or an upgrade but it probably isn't.
Additionally, you lose 3 of your 4 best WR's and still won't have a RB unless it is a Freshman.
The offense showed up in a couple of games but UF's defense made the season for them and the D front made the defense. You lose 4 of 7 and possibly as bad as 6 of 7.
I'd say in the east UT, UF, and UGA are close though I think UT's returnees gives them a little advantage. UGA loses players off both lines leaving them unpredictable.
One additional advantage for UT is that they don't play Auburn or LSU next year. Arkansas appears to be self-destructing. So Bama could be UT's only real challenger from the west.
UF has Aub/LSU on consecutive Saturdays following UT and Ole Miss. UGA has Auburn and plays at UT.
USC and UK follow with a slugger's chance of sneaking in if UF, UT, and UGA do each other damage. Vandy has no chance.
I think the champion is whoever wins the east. Auburn has offensive issues that aren't going away as they lose 4 OL's, their best RB, and best WR. Arkansas has had Jr defections to the NFL plus Sr losses plus dissention.
LSU will be talent rich but lost Russell, Bowe, Davis, Vincet, and, most importantly, Fisher. On D they lose several defensive starters including 3 of 4 DB's. Miles is probably about to be exposed. He hid behind Fisher and Pelini for a couple of years. Now we'll see if he can actually coach.