After surfing the Florida message boards a good bit, I've seen plenty of chatter about how Tennessee "hasn't played anyone" and "struggled with some of the worst teams in the country," comparing stats from their first 3 games vs our first 3 games. All of the "college football live" type shows have been making the same points, talking about how good Florida's defense is and saying they may be the best defense in the country.
I decided to put some stats behind all this chatter, so I'll just drop this off here:
CFB CBS Sports Rankings - CBSSports.com
In 3 games, UF has played:
#87 out of 128 Kentucky
#117 out of 128 Mass
#127 out of 128 North Texas
Average rank = 110
Meanwhile,
In 3 games, UT has played:
#59 out of 128 App State
#47 out of 128 Va Tech
#78 out of 128 Ohio
Average rank = 61
The lowest ranked team we've played is still 10 spots better than the highest ranked team they have played.
Furthermore, in that time, their defense has allowed just under 5 points per game, which is quite impressive. Tennessee's defense has allowed 18 points per game. A roughly 13 point per game difference under dramatically different competition. It's a decent margin, but not as big as one would think considering who they've played and who we've played. The teams we've played aren't great teams by any stretch, but they're capable of scoring points:
Through 3 games: Mass, UK, and N. Texas are averaging a combined 18 points per game.
Through 3 games: App State, VA Tech, and Ohio are averaging 30 points per game.
That's about the same margin as the difference between the points per game our defense and their defense is allowing.
Also,
Our offense is currently putting up 31 points per game, theirs is putting up 33 points per game, again, against dramatically weaker competition.
This is not a #WGWTFA prediction by any means, but more of a "What do we really know about Florida?" kind of situation. The only thing we really know is that through 3 weeks, their stats really are coming against the absolute worst teams in the country, and aside from a defensive margin of 13 PPG (against teams that average 12 offensive PPG less per game already), our stats are very similar. We're just playing better teams.
Final note: Saturday their competition ranks almost 100 spots higher than their current average.
Just a few thoughts.