When was the last time Tennessee was an underdog to Vandy in Neyland?

#51
#51
utvolpj said:
actually if the line's not moving with that kind of action I would take it as a good sign. 85% on one side and the guys making money every week are fine with it?
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One guy said it moved to -1.5. It will move with 85% on one side, guaranteed.
 
#52
#52
mchandl7 said:
Get rid of the names. Would you give points for a 5-5 team on the road against a 4-6 team? Is all I'm saying.
Say UCLA -1 @ Washington State

(UCLA won by 3 at home this year)
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Names matter.
 
#53
#53
mchandl7 said:
I doubt big time betters are betting on Vandy-Tennessee. The line is moving because the public has the perception that Vandy is a really good team instead of the average one they are. The bookmakers set the line in hopes of getting a 50-50 split, people went heavier to Vandy than they thought so they moved it up slightly.
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This isnt about the bookies - its about the betters. You are correct the bookies want the 50-50 split. This is about the trend of where the money is being put right out of the gate.

doubt all you want but betters bet on everything that's why lines come out on Sundays as soon as the Saturday games are done. The line only begins to move after the initial bets are placed.

If you dont believe me, run over to the gamblers thread and post a message to see what they say
 
#56
#56
mchandl7 said:
I doubt big time betters are betting on Vandy-Tennessee. The line is moving because the public has the perception that Vandy is a really good team instead of the average one they are. The bookmakers set the line in hopes of getting a 50-50 split, people went heavier to Vandy than they thought so they moved it up slightly.
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Actually the sharps are usually the ones that make up most of the early money in college football.

They are looking for mistakes in the early lines to jump on before the casual gamblers correct the line.
 
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#58
#58
DrunkJohnny said:
Agree. Just saying, if it stays that way it will move.
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Yep, you're right.

I think you'll see all the Vol faithful money keep the line short though.

If it can't, then Vandy is a big play this week.
 
#60
#60
AllVolYall said:
Mike Griffith shilling for Fulmer on the Locker Room Show. Insinuates it's the fans fault for changing the direction of the program (getting rid of Fulmer). Will someone with media connections please get that guy a job in another city. I'm so tired of hearing his stupid thoughts on FB or BB.
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dooley2 said:
It was the fans. When Bama fans packed our house, he got let go. And how the fans let out a shower of boos every single time something didn't go UT's way. Hamilton had no choice if he was going to keep bringing revenue in and save the fan base.
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That worked out well.

I thought this at the time, but letting Fulmer go was a bad idea. Just because the program was on a down turn does not mean it was going to keep going down forever. Sports are like the stock market - if you overanalyze a season or two you will miss out on the significant long-term gains.

However, I never imagined how horrible the mess would be that the program - and the entire athletics department - would be in now. This is pretty much the worse case scenario situation for UT athletics resulting from letting Fulmer go.

Hopefully Dooley can turn things around and bring the team back to respectability next year and get us back to down years being 8-4/7-5, average years being 9-3 and good years being 10-2/11-1. I believe he is the man to do it, but it will take time. Especially with how much turmoil the entire athletics department has endured the last few months and years.

Also, we cannot let another coach go. One of the things that is hurting Dooley is the lack of stability in our head coaching position. If we now let him go too we will start having losing seasons on a regular basis.
 
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#62
#62
GBO18 said:
We will still be the favorite. Good grief.
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You cant possibly think Tennessee is the better team. And its not like the "good ole days" when Tennessee was hard to beat in Neyland. Hopefully those days will return sooner than later, but right now Vandy is the better team.

God it pains me to say that.

GBO
 
#68
#68
mchandl7 said:
Sucker bet. Teams are pretty much equal, but Vandy has done nothing to justify giving points on the road.
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You must be kidding. Vandy could have-should have beaten Georgia. They had Arkansas beaten and gave it away and had a legitimate chance to beat the Gators in the Swamp, but for some outrageous no-calls by the refs. Had Jordan Rogers been QBing from the start, Vandy wins at least one of those, maybe two, and, possibly all three.
 
#70
#70
mchandl7 said:
I doubt big time betters are betting on Vandy-Tennessee. The line is moving because the public has the perception that Vandy is a really good team instead of the average one they are. The bookmakers set the line in hopes of getting a 50-50 split, people went heavier to Vandy than they thought so they moved it up slightly.
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That "average" team to which you are referring has covered the spread EVERY game this season. How do I know? I've won them all. That's how. Ain't touching tonight, however. Pullin' for my beloved Vols all the way.
 
#71
#71
txbo said:
Actually the sharps are usually the ones that make up most of the early money in college football.

They are looking for mistakes in the early lines to jump on before the casual gamblers correct the line.
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Only partially correct, my friend. It works both ways. The few "heavy hitters" I've known through the years, bet later, rather than sooner in the week. A lot can happen between Sunday night and the following Saturday.
 
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