What really went wrong in Knoxville? THE CAL PERSPECTIVE

#1

Teddyhead

WE WILL KILL USC
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#1
Ok, so obviously a lot can be said about the complete meltdown against Tennessee last year. By recognizing these deficiencies we can better plan for the rematch. The California Golden Blogs does a wonderful job of offering a cursory explanation. I have posted it below. I am interested to hear why the Tennessee fans think we lost, besides the very evident reasons. I realize by posting this I invite severe criticism, but what they hay, I doubt our teams will play again in my lifetime. By encompassing all plausible reasons for defeat we can better understand the situation. Thanks…



From the California Golden Blogs


The Tennessee Debacle: Out-played or Out-coached? Part I


Ah yes, what horrible memories this picture brings back. The national embarrassment. The chants of "overrated". The never ending taunts of SEC fans saying west coast football is soft.

I know the Tennessee game was a long time ago but I thought it would be good to go over what went wrong that game. Ask any Cal fan and they’ll probably tell you that everything went wrong that game. We all shamefully laugh and agree because… well, what the hell didn’t go wrong when supposedly you’re a top-10 team and a fringe top-25 team dropkicks you with 35 unanswered points?

But seriously now, does anybody know what really went wrong that game?

Some people say it was the fact that Cal started a blue-shirt (the Cal equivalent of a red-shirt) cornerback. Others say it was Cal’s inexperienced quarterback. Some say it was the offensive line’s inability to protect the quarterback. Others say will say the Tennessee defense was just like nothing we’ve ever seen before in terms of athleticism, quickness, and speed. Or some people might suggest it was the fault of Mike Dunbar’s playcalling.

All the aforementioned reasons are all somewhat correct. But I’m still looking for a simpler answer. Something that is just a little more all-encompassing. And the more I think about it, the more I think the the faults of Cal’s demise can be divided up into two categories: Outplayed and Outcoached.

Outplayed are all the instances where any Tennessee player beat a Cal player. Whether it was a CB shutting down our WRs, or a DLineman blowing through our OL, or any instance of a Tennessee player out-hustling and out-performing our players.

Outcoached are all the instances where our offensive or defensive playcalling was bad or predictable.

Now, I’m not going to talk much about defensive coaching because I’m simply not a defensive person - offense is more my specialty. Even if I could speak about Cal’s defense, critiquing the defensive playcalling is inconclusive since Tennessee supposedly decoded or intercepted Cal’s defensive playcalling. But I am going to talk about Cal’s offensive playcalling.

After the Tennessee game, it seemed as if some Cal fans were ready to fire Dunbar after just a single game. Fans were saying that the new hydrid offense sucked. Or whatever elements that Dunbar was trying to incorporate sucked. Or he wasn’t calling the right plays for our inexperienced quarterback. It seems as if most fans were screaming for the return to the pre-Dunbar offense. But was the playcalling really that bad?

Was Cal outcoached or outplayed? That’s the question that I set out to answer and the purpose for this very long analysis (so bear with me).

In my search for answers I rewatched the Cal/Tenn game. Not only did I watch it, I wrote down what I saw. Not just general notes, but notes about the offensive playcalling. I’m talking about personnel packages, shotgun vs. under center, formations, down & distance, run or pass, and what types of runs and passes. All that nitty gritty.

My hypothesis (and the the seemingly popular hypothesis of many other Cal fans after the game) was this: Dunbar’s playcalling was at fault for the Tennessee loss.

Proof of my hypothesis would come from predictable playcalling, any "tells" (signs that Cal might be more inclined to run or pass on a certain play), or simply unvaried playcalling.

For clarity of data I limited my analysis to only the plays where Longshore was the QB. This is because the plays where Longshore is the QB represent Dunbar’s original offensive ideology and because by the time that Ayoob was in Cal had deviated from the norm to a pass heavy offense in order to catch up.

So with all this introduction stuff out of the way tomorrow we’ll dig into the data, starting with the basics.
 
#3
#3
You do realize you can't be an expert of offense without being an expert of defense, right?
 
#5
#5
My hypothesis (and the the seemingly popular hypothesis of many other Cal fans after the game) was this: Dunbar’s playcalling was at fault for the Tennessee loss.

I'd submit that the rest of the country's hypothesis was this: Tennessee's play calling was the reason for the Cal loss. Your the first Cal fan that has given credit where credit was due (out played and out coached), props to ya.
 
#6
#6
Same scenario may play out this year when UT has 2 new starters at CB, one of them most likely a true freshmen.
 
#8
#8


For clarity of data I limited my analysis to only the plays where Longshore was the QB. This is because the plays where Longshore is the QB represent Dunbar’s original offensive ideology and because by the time that Ayoob was in Cal had deviated from the norm to a pass heavy offense in order to catch up.

So with all this introduction stuff out of the way tomorrow we’ll dig into the data, starting with the basics.


:eek:lol: Looks like your giving your coach too much credit for his pass heavy offense near the end "in order to catch up." Ayoob was playing against our 2nd and 3rd stringers. Thank Fulmer for keeping the score decent. :unsure:
 
#9
#9
Let's not forget that TN had a firecracker up their butt after the embarassing season the year before. TN was at home against a top 10 Cal and they had an opportunity to prove that 5-6 in Knoxville is a fluke. I watch highlights of that game on youtube every so often and it seemed like TN simply wanted it more...and badly. The D swarmed on Lynch like crazy. The running game was effective (Hardesty had the best run of any RB all season). Ainge to Meachem was a deadly combo. Coach Cut was back for his first season (the coaches, er, one in particular, had A LOT to prove <and the thread goes downhill from here>). Unfortunately this was TN's best game of the season. Both teams are going to want it pretty bad in Cal. Cal will want revenge and TN is still looking for some respect (Cal will be the favorite). It should be a great game and one I wouldn't miss for anything.
 
#10
#10
Let's not forget that TN had a firecracker up their butt after the embarassing season the year before. TN was at home against a top 10 Cal and they had an opportunity to prove that 5-6 in Knoxville is a fluke. I watch highlights of that game on youtube every so often and it seemed like TN simply wanted it more...and badly. The D swarmed on Lynch like crazy. The running game was effective (Hardesty had the best run of any RB all season). Ainge to Meachem was a deadly combo. Coach Cut was back for his first season (the coaches, er, one in particular, had A LOT to prove <and the thread goes downhill from here>). Unfortunately this was TN's best game of the season. Both teams are going to want it pretty bad in Cal. Cal will want revenge and TN is still looking for some respect (Cal will be the favorite). It should be a great game and one I wouldn't miss for anything.

and you lost me.....
 
#11
#11
The simple answer the guy is looking for is that UT was coming off a 5-6 season, it was the home opener and Cal had never played in an atmosphere like that before. I would say the Bears will be very fired up after hearing about this for the past year so it should be a good game.
 
#12
#12
how can you blame dunbar when it is the defense that quickly got cal out of the game? :shakehead:

blitzing ainge and having a redshirt freshman cover experienced and talented receivers one on one was not the OC decision. loading up against hte run was not dunbar's decision either.

the playcalling on offense wasn't the problem. it was the execution. The lack of runblocking and the our qb's lack of ability to hit wide open receivers.
 
#13
#13
My hypothesis (and the the seemingly popular hypothesis of many other Cal fans after the game) was this: Dunbar’s playcalling was at fault for the Tennessee loss.

.

Dunbar may not have called a great offensive game, but he wasn't responsible for the 35 point outburst your defense allowed.

When you fall behind by 35 points, and you're physically manhandled by the opposing football team, you can't "hypothesize" that it's the offensive coordinator's fault.

California was outclassed, outcoached, outhustled, and outplayed that day.

I think there was a bit of an avalanche effect -- once Tennessee got rolling, Cal curled up into the fetal position and refused to put up a fight until it was too late -- and I don't believe it'll be so easy this time around for the Vols. I think this year's game will be more competitive...but I think the end result will be the same...lots of Rocky Top from the Pride as the players head to the locker rooms.
 
#14
#14
how can you blame dunbar when it is the defense that quickly got cal out of the game? :shakehead:

blitzing ainge and having a redshirt freshman cover experienced and talented receivers one on one was not the OC decision. loading up against hte run was not dunbar's decision either.

the playcalling on offense wasn't the problem. it was the execution. The lack of runblocking and the our qb's lack of ability to hit wide open receivers.

Reading this reminded me of what a huge question mark folks around here thought our WRs to be at about this time last year....
 
#16
#16
Reading this reminded me of what a huge question mark folks around here thought our WRs to be at about this time last year....

I'm assume their lack of quality play in 05 was why gregory thought he could cover them with a redshirt freshman with a broken hand. Still not too bright even with average WRrs.
 
#19
#19
I can't see Cal being favored in this game. Last year's game was too lop-sided. I imagine the Vols will be a 2 or 3 point favorite....but, I'm no expert.
 
#20
#20
We might be the favorite because of last year, and because the recent past between the SEC and Pac-10 when the game doesn't include USC.

But I could see Cal being the favorite, because they are at home, and they will be ranked higher.

All n all, it should be a very good game this year.
 
#21
#21
I can't see Cal being favored in this game. Last year's game was too lop-sided. I imagine the Vols will be a 2 or 3 point favorite....but, I'm no expert.

I wouldn't be suprised to see the line open as cal as the favorite and then move to tenn as the favorite for the reason you mentioned.
 
#22
#22
Athleticism and speed, pure and simple. Tennessee was better than Cal. Straight up, nothing to blame. Just better football players.

Why it is that the PAC-10 and the Big Ten refuse to simnply admit that the SEC year-in and year-out has much, much better talent than the other conferences, is simply beyond me.

Can you point to outliers? Sure. But for the most part, across the board the SEC just has better football players.
 
#23
#23
Athleticism and speed, pure and simple. Tennessee was better than Cal. Straight up, nothing to blame. Just better football players.

Why it is that the PAC-10 and the Big Ten refuse to simnply admit that the SEC year-in and year-out has much, much better talent than the other conferences, is simply beyond me.

Can you point to outliers? Sure. But for the most part, across the board the SEC just has better football players.

I think you've got the right idea. No need to break down film to conclude that last year Tennessee was just plain better than Cal. I'm not sure what Dunbar could have done to avoid that.
 
#24
#24
Cal did make alot of dumb mistakes like dropped passes. SEC speed is a huge advantage just ask Ohio St.
 

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