The Gators haven't proven anything in terms of their ability to beat UT.
And you have proven nothing to show you can beat UF.
We're all just speculating based on a combination of our perceptions of the overall state of affairs, the talent level, the coaching, injuries, a comparison of strengths and weaknesses, etc. Its a handicapping session, is all, and you are totally free to think your team is going to prevail.
The oddsmakers are usually right. But not always.