Vols vs Cal ----game line

#1
C

CaptainOrange

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#1
Looking ahead to game #1. What do you expect the point spread to be?

My guess it's going to be quite close, though i think we are going to win big again, I expect the Vegas linesmakers to leave us a -2 for a opening line around 2 weeks before the start.

Then by gametime I expect the line to move around -3, then maybe -3.5, someplaces -4.


Though I wouldn't be surprised if we are a point or two underdogs.
 
#3
#3
UT won't be favored.

[cliche] But we play better on the road and as underdogs[/cliche]
 
#4
#4
Vegas will open with Cal the slight fav. ESPN/ABC will coy the general public into thinking they are getting value laying a small number with Cal. The public will move the line from 2/ to 3/. At that point the wise guys will hit it hard on the Vols gameday and the line will move to P by game time.

In all honesty, since the line is placed to get equal action, I'd say Cal is a 3 point fav from open to close. That would place the teams as equals and provide an edge to the home team.
 
#5
#5
One thing that won't help is that Cal got embarrassed last season. Their players and coaches won't easily forget that, so they'll be in a state of high readiness.
 
#7
#7
we will open +2
the line will rise to +4
it will end up at +2.5

the over/under will be sitting around 49-50
 
#10
#10
It seems we have also faired better on the road the last few years than at home. Hopefully we will get the win in Cal.:good!:
 
#14
#14
Really? What makes you say that? Do you have any real support for that, or are you just going to bring up the Georgia series.
 
#15
#15
GAVol said:
I'd bet that we are at least a 2 or 3 point underdog.
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This is exactly right. I could even see it grow larger after it opens. Remember, Cal opened as a 2 point favorite last season. The betting public isn't all that smart, and Vegas knows that. I'll say -3 Cal.
 
#19
#19
VolinArizona said:
This is exactly right. I could even see it grow larger after it opens. Remember, Cal opened as a 2 point favorite last season. The betting public isn't all that smart, and Vegas knows that. I'll say -3 Cal.
Click to expand...

because of last year i'd say cal by 1 or 1.5.
 
#22
#22
Ok by compiling the numbers I have, obviousely I could of made an error somewhere. So its open for correction. Over the past 6 seasons we have won 28 games at home, compared to 23 wins on the road. But, we have played 40 games at home the past 6 seasons compared to 29 on the road. So technically over the past 6 seasons we have done better on the road.
 
#23
#23
Yeah, but how many great wins do we actually have on the road the past few years? We beat LSU 2 years ago and that seems to be the best one.
 
#24
#24
tvolsfan said:
Yeah, but how many great wins do we actually have on the road the past few years? We beat LSU 2 years ago and that seems to be the best one.
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Ok? I never said anything about great wins on the road. You asked about our success on the road compared to our success at home and I gave you the facts.
 
#25
#25
tvolsfan said:
Yeah, but how many great wins do we actually have on the road the past few years? We beat LSU 2 years ago and that seems to be the best one.
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@ FL(twice), @ Miami, @ UGA (last year and 04), @ LSU, @ Bama, @ USC........

of course, it completely depends on your definition of big games......
 
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