Vols probable wins, losses, & tossups

#1

JohnWardForever

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#1
1. WKU----- Probable Win---Vols by 40
2. UCLA----- Probable Win---Vols by 15
3. FLA-------Probable Loss---Gators by 20
4. OHIO----- Probable Win---Vols by 24
5.Auburn----Tossup? @ UT---Vols by 10
6.UGA-------Tossup? @ UT---Vols by 2
7.Bama------Probable loss----Bama by 9
8.SCAR------Probable Win----Vols by 7
9.Memp's----Probable Win----Vols by 21
10. Miss-----Tossup? Away---Miss by 7
11.Vand-----Probable Win----Vols by 14
12 UK-------Probable Win----Vols by 12

So Vols have 3 tossups and 2 probable losses, which translates to 7-5 at worst and 10-2 at best. I see 9-3.
Whadda think?
 
#2
#2
Until I see this team of the field, I have a hard time not putting USClight on the tossup list. I think that many would put Ole Miss on the probable loss list, and while I don't think that they are going to be dominant, I would be inclined to join that group. So, I'm going to say at best 9-3 and at worst 6-6. I am going to go with 8-4.
 
#3
#3
Diet USC is a toss up slightly favoring the Vols, while UGA is on the borderline of a toss up and probable loss. Ole Miss is also a probable loss. 7-5 or 8-4.
 
#4
#4
I agree with 8-4. Losses to UF, Bama, and 2 of the following 4 (Ole Miss, UGA, AU, and USClite). My gut says we win the AU and USC games...but would not be shocked if we upset UGA. So I stick with 8-4 because 9-3 sounds like a pipe dream right now.
 
#5
#5
I'm not ready to call UGA or Ole Miss a toss-up or USCjr a probable win at this point. JMO
 
#6
#6
I'm not ready to call UGA or Ole Miss a toss-up or USCjr a probable win at this point. JMO


Noted. I just don't see where some writers get the 4-8 or 5-7 or even 6-6 projections. Vols went 5-7 last year with no offense , no disclipline and no coaching.
 
#7
#7
I like what you have done... I could see a 3 loss year at best though but most likely an 8-4 campaign...
 
#10
#10
IMO the UCLA game will define your season. I expect UCLA to be considerably better than last year. Likewise for TN. Beat UCLA and I see you at 8-4 or 9-3. But a loss to UCLA will likely mean the pieces aren't in place yet, in which case I expect TN to also lose to FL, Bama, OM, UGA, and one of Auburn, SC, Vandy, or KY for a 6-6 season. And a bowl. Finishing 7-6.
 
#12
#12
IMO the UCLA game will define your season. I expect UCLA to be considerably better than last year. Likewise for TN. Beat UCLA and I see you at 8-4 or 9-3. But a loss to UCLA will likely mean the pieces aren't in place yet, in which case I expect TN to also lose to FL, Bama, OM, UGA, and one of Auburn, SC, Vandy, or KY for a 6-6 season. And a bowl. Finishing 7-6.

Agreed, a UCLA win helps the team keep buying in. Also, IMO, UGA is going to be better than most think, and Ole Miss a bit overrated.
 
#13
#13
IMO the UCLA game will define your season. I expect UCLA to be considerably better than last year. Likewise for TN. Beat UCLA and I see you at 8-4 or 9-3. But a loss to UCLA will likely mean the pieces aren't in place yet, in which case I expect TN to also lose to FL, Bama, OM, UGA, and one of Auburn, SC, Vandy, or KY for a 6-6 season. And a bowl. Finishing 7-6.


UCLA starts 2 freshmen on the OL. Vols D will be in Bruins backfield all game---and pressure will create turnovers----not to mention the revenge factor. Tenn. wins this game convincingly.
 
#14
#14
Until I see this team of the field, I have a hard time not putting USClight on the tossup list. I think that many would put Ole Miss on the probable loss list, and while I don't think that they are going to be dominant, I would be inclined to join that group. So, I'm going to say at best 9-3 and at worst 6-6. I am going to go with 8-4.

That sounds about right....

I'm not ready to call UGA or Ole Miss a toss-up or USCjr a probable win at this point. JMO

With a valid additional concern.
 
#15
#15
8-4 is what I have been thinking for a little while now.

Once I see how they play against UCLA, I'll have a better idea of how close that prediction is to reality. If they lose to UCLA or win a nail-biter, I'll think the likely record is closer to 6-6.
 
#16
#16
9-3 or 8-4 dependent on how well we play at Neyland this year. I think if we beat UCLA, this team can fairly easily get to 8 wins based on confidence alone.
 
#17
#17
8-4 is what I have been thinking for a little while now.

Once I see how they play against UCLA, I'll have a better idea of how close that prediction is to reality. If they lose to UCLA or win a nail-biter, I'll think the likely record is closer to 6-6.


Tennessee will NOT lose to UCLA! So if UT wins a "nail biter" over UCLA, that puts them at 2-0---now give me the 6 losses. They ain't there.
 
#19
#19
Probable loss to Gators and Tide..conventional wisdom good pick...vols fan pick...weak and no guts.
 
#20
#20
I love the Vols as much as anyone on here. But we need to take an honest look at what we have.

QB - J. Crompton - below average at best
WR - No depth at all - Will have to start freshman just to play. Remember this is the SEC
OL - Average at best in the SEC - No depth at all - injuries could really hurt up front and it has already started with McNeil
RB - Unproven Hardesty (can he stay healthy) then freshmen that haven't played although talented freshmen but again remember this is the SEC
TE - a group that has underachieved in their time here but talented
FB - no production in the past although I think this group will be a bright spot for us

DL - Still has to prove what they can do in SEC schedule but some talent
LB - a weak spot outside of Rico, no depth, very young
DB - the strength of the defense and the most talent on this year’s team

Special teams - hopefully improved but Cunningham worries me. Rogan back helps some in the return game.

Now I don't see how you get through the SEC with just 4 loses with that. Hopefully I am wrong. But the expectations around here have gotten a little out of hand. I bought into all the hype earlier but when you honestly look at our roster and compare it to what the rest of the conference. We are lacking playmakers on both sides. I don't see 8 wins. I hope we can get to 7 but anything over 7 would be nothing short of "Coach of the year" type stuff.
 
#22
#22
I love the Vols as much as anyone on here. But we need to take an honest look at what we have.

QB - J. Crompton - below average at best
WR - No depth at all - Will have to start freshman just to play. Remember this is the SEC
OL - Average at best in the SEC - No depth at all - injuries could really hurt up front and it has already started with McNeil
RB - Unproven Hardesty (can he stay healthy) then freshmen that haven't played although talented freshmen but again remember this is the SEC
TE - a group that has underachieved in their time here but talented
FB - no production in the past although I think this group will be a bright spot for us

DL - Still has to prove what they can do in SEC schedule but some talent
LB - a weak spot outside of Rico, no depth, very young
DB - the strength of the defense and the most talent on this year’s team

Special teams - hopefully improved but Cunningham worries me. Rogan back helps some in the return game.

Now I don't see how you get through the SEC with just 4 loses with that. Hopefully I am wrong. But the expectations around here have gotten a little out of hand. I bought into all the hype earlier but when you honestly look at our roster and compare it to what the rest of the conference. We are lacking playmakers on both sides. I don't see 8 wins. I hope we can get to 7 but anything over 7 would be nothing short of "Coach of the year" type stuff.

Don't live down to expectations. Go out there and do something remarkable.
 
#23
#23
I can see 8-4 but to deny the possibility of 6-6 and quote unquote not see it is probably a bit naive. Especially if UT were to lose to UCLA early in the season. UF, Bama, AU, USCe, Ole Miss, Ga. I am not saying you are going to lose them all, but its very easy to see.
 
#24
#24
I can see 8-4 but to deny the possibility of 6-6 and quote unquote not see it is probably a bit naive. Especially if UT were to lose to UCLA early in the season. UF, Bama, AU, USCe, Ole Miss, Ga. I am not saying you are going to lose them all, but its very easy to see.

Given the following teams except for Florida, make an argument of why they will beat us based on their team's stengths.

1. WKU
2. UCLA
3. FLA
4. OHIO
5. Auburn
6. UGA
7. Bama
8. SCAR
9. Memp's
10. Miss
11. Vand
12. UK
 
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